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7.23.2017

Two-day Pick 6 carryover of $209K on Sunday at Saratoga

SARATOGA SPRINGS, N.Y. - Upset wins by Firenze Fire ($27) in the Grade 3, $150,000 Sanford, Penjade ($16) in Race 8, and Glorious Empire ($20) in Race 11 helped trigger a two-day Pick 6 carryover of $209,632 to start the summer meet at Saratoga Race Course. Sunday's Pick 6 carryover sequence starts on Race 6 at approximately 3:49 p.m. and includes the Grade 1, $300,000 Coaching Club American Oaks featuring, Grade 1 Kentucky Oaks and Grade 1 Acorn champion Abel Tasman. The rest of winners in Saturday's Pick 6 sequence were Build to Suit ($10.60) in Race 6, Partly Mocha ($9.10) in Race 7, and multiple-graded stakes champion Lady Eli ($3.90), winner of the Grade 1, $500,000 Diana as Race 10. The consolation payout for five out of six was $1,730.

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7.22.2017

Huntsville, Fear the Dragon Headline Today's Adios Elims

WASHINGTON, PA, July 19, 2017 — Huntsville and Fear The Dragon have been installed as 7-5 morning-line favorites to win their respective divisions in Saturday’s eliminations for the $450,000 Delvin Miller Pace for the Orchids at The Meadows. Each favorite is coming into the Adios in fine form. Huntsville captured the final of the Meadowlands Pace; Fear The Dragon wasn’t eligible for that stake, but he won the final of the Max Hempt in his most recent start. The eliminations card begins at 1:05 PM, with the elims set for approximately 3:45 PM. The Adios final July 29 anchors a blockbuster afternoon card that features six Grand Circuit stakes. The fields for the Adios eliminations, in post position order with preliminary driving assignments, trainers and morning-line odds: Adios Elimination 1, Race 9 1. Boogie Shuffle (Zeron/Harder) - 20/1 2. RJP (Gingras/Burke) - 5/1 3. Highalator (Palone/Long) - 10/1 4. Miso Fast (Kakaley/Burke) - 5/2 5. Blood Line (MacDonald/Takter) - 4/1 6. Southwind Yukon (Kakaley/Burke) - 20/1 7. Huntsville (Tetrick/Schnittker) - 7/5   Adios Elimination 2, Race 10 1. Western Hill (McNair/Alagna) - 5/1 2. Lawrencetown Beach (Gingras/Burke) - 10/1 3. Fear the Dragon (Miller/Brown) 7/5 4. Hurricane Beach (Dube/Blais) - 20/1 5. Filibuster Hanover (Gingras/Burke) - 5/2 6. Eddard Hanover (Kakaley/Burke) - 20/1 7. Independent One (Kakaley/Butenschoen) - 4/1    

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XB Blog

XB Blog

7.22.2017

July 22: Meadowlands Picks

There will be a 12 race card at the Meadowlands tonight with a .50 Late Pick 4 sequence beginning in...

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7.22.2017

Lone Star: My Stars of Texas Pick 4 Play

The Stars of Texas are out Saturday at Lone Star Park, and while these won’t be confused with anything going on at either of racing’s summertime spas earlier in the day, there’s plenty of quality in the final four races on the card and a chance to end the day with a decent payoff.The Texas-bred stakes races make up the Late Pick Four. Starting with the 7th, the stakes races include the $50,000 Valor Farm for 3-year-old & up sprinters, the $100,000 Texas Thoroughbred Futurity for the juvenile fillies, the $50,000 Assault for the top older two-turn horses and the $100,000 Texas Thoroughbred Futurity, colts and geldings division.Here’s a look at each of those races, following by a suggested Pick Four ticket.7th Race (Valor Farm Stakes): It might just take two on the ticket to start it off with #9 My Master Plan and #2 Zippit E.  My Master Plan comes off a stakes win in a race that was at a mile on a muddy track. She turns back to six furlongs but is plenty capable at the distance.  Zippet E. twice beat My Master Plan in sprint races earlier and will be a big player on the front end.8th Race (Futurity fillies): Here’s the single on the card as #8 Patrona Margarita will get the play after breaking her maiden vs. open foes at Churchill. That came on debut and she followed with an 8th in the Debutante, also at CD. She went from 5th to 1st in her 4.5-furlong career opener and the ability to pass horses will make her very difficult to hold off here. It’s always a gamble to single a 2-year-old in a lr9th Race (Assault): #1 Supermason was outstanding in his latest as he cruised with an open lead and reported home by nearly seven. That came in an option claiming race and he’s back to stakes company, and he’s performed well vs. such competition on occasion. #5 Texas Chrome is the even-money choice as he has been mostly in graded stakes races. He’s winless since the Oklahoma Derby last fall, but has been 2nd to the likes of Mor Spirit and Danzing Candy. He will be a stout competitor in this one, but Supermason’s front-end speed makes him playable on the ticket.10th Race (Futurity colts & geldings): Here’s the spread race, despite a 7-5 favorite in Galactica. However, there’s plenty of other promising talent and in addition to #7 Galactica, it’s worth fishing around. #9 Aceguitar was tremendous in his debut as he went off by nine. That came on a muddy strip and he has worked very well since. #11 Swift Shock also won his debut in the mud and #12 Almeria was 2nd in his debut at Los Alamitos and hasn’t been out since then. He’s likely to get into the mix vs. fellow state-breds.Suggested Pick Four ticket: 9-2 with 8 with 1-5 with 7-9-11-12 ($8 on a 50-cent ticket). Instead of spreading out in more than a race or two, it’s probably worth it to raise the ticket above the minimum price.

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7.21.2017

5 Horses I’m Betting on Saratoga Opening Day

One of North America’s most popular and anticipated meets, Saratoga, kicks off this weekend in a big way, with five graded stakes races including the CCA Oaks (G1) and Diana (G1).  Friday’s Opening Day card, which starts at 1PM ET, includes the Lake George (G3) and Schuylerville (G3), as well as several other allowance races that could easily go as stakes events. Bet Saratoga with Xpressbet on Friday and you can win a Split of 1 Million XB Rewards Points!  To win your share, just hit Exacta bets ($2 minimum) on four different races.  Register now to get started in that promotion.  To help get your handicapping started, here are five horses I’m betting Friday at the Spa.  Race 2 - #6 Beaux Arts (4/1) What you see on paper from the field assembled for Friday’s second race won’t knock your socks off.  Of the nine maidens entered to race on the lawn, three started their careers with the dreaded ‘-0’ Beyer Speed Figure, meaning the effort wasn’t even on the scale.  And none of the first-time-starters come from barns that are traditionally ‘win early.’  So what does that leave us?  Not much.  But I am very intrigued by second-time-starter, Beaux Arts (Cash/Arroyo).  The daughter of Freud ran into a buzzsaw named Little Dipper (put her in your virtual stable) in her debut at Monmouth.  Little Dipper blazed 4 ½-furlongs in :51.76 that day, just .83s off the track record.  Beaux Arts held second that day and has the ability to come right back and win.  If nothing else, she’s the best horse on paper.  Race 4 - #8 Takaful (7/2) I jumped on this horse’s bandwagon following his debut last October at Belmont – a snappy 8-length score going 6 ½-furlongs at Belmont.  I bet him back in the Remsen (G2) at 4/5 odds to no avail, and doubled down on him in the Jerome (G3) at even-money.  No dice there, either.  I was off the bandwagon by the time he was 8th, beaten 27-lengths, in the Xpressbet.com Fountain of Youth, but everyone else was too.  He was 14/1 that day.  He’s been off since.  So why am I jumping back on now?  Distance.  Despite being a son of Bernardini, out of a Distorted Humor mare, this horse simply had no interest routing.  Now he cuts back to a sprint and draws an outside post.  Both are winning angles for me.  On top of that, Jose Ortiz is back aboard.  That’s a big deal because he’d ridden the ML fave, Patternrecognition (Brown/Castellano), in that one’s two prior starts.  If Takaful is as talented as his debut indicated, and I think he is, he should show up with a much improved performance on Friday.  Race 7 - #6 Red Rifle (5/1) It’s generally not my preferred angle to bet horses who have gone winless for the last 700+ days, but that’s exactly what I’m doing Friday.  Red Rifle (Pletcher/Velazquez) returns to the scene of his best career races – a victory in the 2015 Bowling Green Handicap (G2) and a runner-up effort behind Flintshire in the 2015 Sword Dancer (G1) – and finds a field void of standouts.  Now a seven-year-old, Red Rifle has been unlucky twice this year, encountering traffic problems twice in three starts.  Rewatching those races, he probably should have won at Gulfstream and could have won at Belmont.  If you’re looking at his PPs, get a little creative and put a line through his wet turf tries – all of a sudden, his form looks a lot more desirable.  If nothing else, he’s a more attractive bet than Highland Sky (Tagg/Castellano), who has failed in consecutive races at 3/5 odds.  Race 8 - #9 Stainless (5/1) With nine horses shipping in from six different tracks, just about anything is possible in this year’s Schuylerville (G2).  And with solid juvenile barns – Pletcher, Asmussen, Salzman, Casse and Clement – represented, this should be a good one.  One thing I look for when betting races with recent maiden winners is whether the horses they’ve beat have come back to do anything.  In your PPs, horses who won ‘next out’ are denoted in italics in the running lines.  That’s the case with Go Astray, who was beaten 4-lengths by Stainless (Pletcher/Velazquez) in a maiden race on May 29 at Gulfstream.  Since then, Go Astray has broken his maiden and was subsequently beaten just 1-length in a stakes race.  As for Stainless herself, I like that Pletcher shipped this horse right up to Saratoga following her debut and think the outside draw is awfully advantageous.  They can track the speed from several lengths back and launch their move on the outside, without fear of running into traffic.  Pletcher and Velazquez have teamed to win the Schuylerville five times, and Stainless has what it takes to make it six.  Race 9 - #7 Party Boat (6/1) This year’s Lake George (G3) attracted a very evenly-matched field of 10 (the other entrant will only run if the race comes off the lawn).  And in races where the talent is so similar, it’s important to look for little clues to help find the winner.  For example, Chubby Star (DePaz/Santana) is a huge overlay at 15/1 for me.  It’s tough to knock a horse who broke from the far outside post (#12) in two straight starts.  It’s impossible to win from out there.  Or, take a look at Fifty Five (Brown/Ortiz), who was beaten just 2-lengths by New Money Honey (who went on to win the Belmont Oaks) on June 8 and beat La Coronel (who raced at Royal Ascot) in March.  But if you like Fifty Five, I think you have to also like Party Boat (Motion/Rosario), who is twice the price.  Party Boat beat Fifty Five in the Memories of Silver Stakes at Aqueduct and while she was second in the Penn Oaks, keep in mind that her rider that day, Feargal Lynch, claimed foul against the winner for interference.  It was disallowed, but you should watch the replay and be the judge. And then ask yourself if you’d feel differently had Party Boat won that race.  Good luck with your wagers!  Be sure to Tweet your best bets of the day to @Xpressbet. 

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7.21.2017

July 22: Weekend Stakes Preview Show

Aaron Vercruysse, Jeff Siegel and Zoe Cadman give race-by-race stakes analysis across the country on The Saturday Overnight Video Podcast for July 22nd, 2017. Our handicappers take an in-depth look at the San Diego Handicap featuring Arrogate and the Eddie Read Stakes from Del Mar, the Sanford and Diana Stakes at Saratoga, the New York Derby at Finger Lakes, the Ontario Matron Stakes at Woodbine, the Concern Stakes at Laurel Park and the Texas Futurity from Lone Star Park.

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7.19.2017

July 19: Keys to the Oceanside Stakes

Jeff Siegel and Zoe Cadman give in-depth insight on the Oceanside Stakes at Del Mar on July 19th, 2017 highlighted by Arms Runner and Bowies Hero.

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7.19.2017

Millie Ball's Del Mar Opening Day Preview

Millie Ball gives her insight on two key maiden races, Races 4 and 5, at Del Mar on July 19th, 2017.

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