by Al Cimagiia
December 23, 2021
Tonight, at Woodbine Mohawk Park, there will be a mandatory Holiday Jackpot Hi-5 payout in Race 12. There is a $489,248 carryover and the 0.20 Hi-5 has a 15% takeout for new money bet into the pool.
My strategy for the Hi-5 will be to fade the morning line chalk 6-Swift Ally (3-1) and use 3-Woodmere Skyroller (4-1) and 5-Lady Rocknrolla A (5-1) at the top of the ticket. My two price shots to use underneath are 1-Nectar (15-1) and 12-Tuggingoncredit (15-1).
If the morning line choice catches fire on the drop and reverts to the form of 2-years ago my ticket will be toast. But 0-33 over the last 2 years and not being involved in a betting race since 11-12 prevents me from keying this mare in the top slot despite winning her qualifier. There are endless possibilities in the 12-horse field and your bet size will be determined by your bankroll.
The 0.20 Late Pick 4 begins in Race 9, and the sequence will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.
0.20 Late Pick 4
2-Addictivebehaviour (5/2)-This filly was all business in her 3rd lifetime start, got on the point and didn't look back. Should be in line for a good trip and looks like a major threat for an encore.
3-Windy Report (3-1)-Although finishing 2nd to the one above last week, my guess is the connections were very pleased. Raced from the back and was 10 lengths behind. Paced the 2nd half in 57.1 and passed some down the lane. Should be closer to the top throughout.
2-Catch An Ace (5/2)-Went off at 31-1 and left alertly in last but was caught inside behind a horse with no pace. Did finish well with a .56 back half. Looking for a better trip and should be a player if that happens.
4-Amasa Arion (7/2)-Started slowly in the Pop Up Final and fell 3/4 of a length short although pacing the 2nd half in .55 flat. Left from post 9 last time, this post draw should help and gets a positive driver change as McNair takes the lines.
6-Shes A Sassy Beach (9/2)-This year's 1-24 record is cause for pause but has been facing tough company. Jamieson is between the pipes, and he should be aggressive versus this kind. Looking for a big try at a solid price.
5-Blonde Onthe Beach (5/2)-There have been gaps in this gal's schedule going back to October and now comes back in sequence. This 3-year-old was purchased for $87k on 11-12 and will be making the 3rd start for the Ben B barn. Last week's trip wasn't the best and Henry should put her in play. This is also the 2nd time for Lasix and could be sitting on a big race.
7-Best Keepsake (7/2)-Came 2nd as a beaten chalk last week at the NW4 level and should make the most of this drop. Got on the engine in last which isn't the usual plan and now comes back in sequence. Sorrie has options, could look to get the point or come off cover, either plan could lead to a picture.
Race 12-Jackpot Hi-5
3-Woodmere Skyroller (4-1)-This mare is a high percentage winner taking pictures in over 33% of lifetime starts. Raced well in last but did fade down the lane. But will excuse as was used hard to sweep to the top into quick fractions. The post draw should help and could be rounding back into sharp form.
5-Lady Rocknrolla A (5-1)-Blasted out last week from post 9 and got the top in a 26.4 opening quarter. Raced evenly after that to finish 4th but did post a .28 last quarter. If Drury wants to get on the engine, there isn't much gate speed inside. Fits with this crew and this race could set-up nicely for the Auciello trainee.
$1.00 Pick 4
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