by Jerry Shottenkirk
August 23, 2019
The early Pick 5 would be a nice catch right out of the gate on Saturday, and there are definitely some decent chances for pari-mutuel prosperity.
This week’s suggested ticket is kept to $36, mainly because it was a chore eliminating horses and it was moving into the hundreds of dollars. Decisions aren’t easy when it comes to evenly matched races in the exotic plays, and in the end it was whittled down to a 2x3x3x2x2 approach.
Extravagant Rosie and Madame Bourbon are the chosen pair in the opener. A player could go six or seven deep in this group of inexperienced fillies. Extravagant Rosie was second in her only two-turn turf starts and can improve, and Madame Bourbon was third going this distance of 7.5 furlongs on turf in her only start and likely will move up as well.
Rethinkme, Miss Lamborghini and Super Witch are on the ticket in the second race. Rethinkme can press from the start and should appreciate the 5.5 furlongs, while Miss Lamborghini also has speed and takes a class drop. Super Witch, who will be the best price of the three, can benefit from a fast pace.
Another trio is on the ticket in the third, as Elite Appeal, She Fled the Scene and Stormy Boss are top contenders. Elite Appeal is the favorite and drops out of maiden special weights ranks, while she had two seconds a third in her last three. She Fled the Scene is expected to get also as much play after four straight seconds at this $40,000 level. Stormy Boss is worth using at a price as she was second in her only start. That was on the main track and now she moves over to the turf and tries two turns.
Si Es Goya and Cape Marco Drive will be the ones to beat in the fourth, and there’s not much difference in the two. Si Es Goya drops in price off the claim and can be a handful for these, but Cape Marco Drive also takes a class drop and comes in off a third-place finish against better.
Party Dancer and Janet B Doesit All will have moderate prices and we’ll pin our hopes on them in the finale. Party Dancer came in from Santa Anita and didn’t fire in her first one at Gulfstream. She’s likely to get back to good form with a local start to her credit, and Janet B Doesit All will pick up a lot of pieces with a late run.
Race 1) #3 Extravagant Rosie, #8 Madame Bourbon.
Race 2) #3 Rethinkme, #5 Miss Lamborghini, #7 Super Witch.
Race 3) #5 Elite Appeal, #6 She Fled the Scene, #7 Stormy Boss.
Race 4) #3 Si Es Goya, #6 Cape Marco Drive.
Race 5) #8 Party Dancer, #9 Janet B Doesit All.
Total Ticket Cost) 3,5,7/5,6,7/3,6/8,9 = $36 for $0.50