by Al Cimaglia
September 29, 2019
Top 3-year-old fillies, colts and geldings will be the headliners at The Red Mile on a Sunday matinee program. First post is 1:00 PM EST for the 10-race card. My focus will be on the $1.00 Pick 4 which begins in Race 7 and has a $10,000 guaranteed pool.
David Miller and Yannick Gingras led the drivers with two trips to the winner's circle on Saturday afternoon. The top conditioners were Ron Burke and Tony Alagna, each with two pictures.
Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.
3-American Mercury (6/5)-Winner of >$549K has been in the hunt for months but doesn't have a win in four tries at Lex. Can race well on a bigger oval but should be bet hard and not sure the Oakes trainee will be able to wire this field.
4-Can't Beach That (3-1)-This is my pick to pull-off a mild upset. Dave Miller can fire out and get the top or sit right behind #3. My guess is Miller takes the pocket and comes on down the lane to claim the biggest check.
6-Green Manalishi S (8/5)-Muscle Hill colt has won 4 of last 6 and should be a major player again. Gets the edge in post position over main foes and should get the top. Could be difficult to catch if Tetrick finds a soft quarter.
7-Marseille (4-1)-Will need very best to top this crew but has the gate speed to follow #6 and trip out.
8-Pilot Discretion (3-1)-Needs to shake a case of seconditis, has finished right behind the winner in three straight. Last was a top effort and if pace is quick McCarthy can sweep by late, best to respect.
6-Bettor's Wish (4/5)-Odds-on favorite looks the part, can leave in a hurry and never look back. Scorched the field in last start which was at Lex on 9-15 from the 10-hole. It's difficult to look beyond this colt, could lock up tenth win of the year with a clean trip.
3-Evident Beauty (2-1)-Having a big 2019 and the ML chalk is a serious threat once again. This filly has been very consistent and is in a spot where David Miller could get a 2-hole trip.
5-Asiago (3-1)-Comes off a big win and if minds manners has a big shot to take another picture. Does lose Gingras but Dunn can blast out and get on the engine or an upfront seat.
$1.00 Pick 4
Race 7) 3,4
Race 8) 6,7,8
Race 9) 6
Race 10) 3,5
Total Ticket Cost) $12 for $1.00
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