by Jerry Shottenkirk
October 4, 2019
Gulfstream Park West nears the end of its first week, and the early Pick 4 on Saturday is highly playable.
The suggested ticket is only $24 this week, as Races 2-5 look competitive, and more importantly, achievable on the Pick 4 ticket.
While these are lower level races, they have some runners that either shown some consistency or appear be to sitting on a form cycle.
It’s a 3x2x4x2 approach, the fourth race (third leg) looks like the biggest spread race.
Catquick will get the play, but Golden Gem Apple, Sierra Love and Jenna Dawn look worthy of a big effort and since it’s a bottom maiden-claiming race, the possibilities are there for a good price. Catquick was second for maiden $20,000 and takes a step down. Bob Hess Jr. has taken over the training for this start and while her effort was good, the drop in price is a concern. Golden Gem Apple is an interesting entrant and likely will be dangerous from the rail. She’s been well in front in her last three races, is ‘blinkers off’ and she get apprentice Gaddiel Martinez, who will likely get her to her customary position.
The Pick 4 starts out in Race 2 with the trio of K C Twostep, Soupery Dupery and Rupp looking best. K C Twostep will be the favorite off two straight seconds. He should have a good trip inside and Soupery Dupery comes out of a fast race and has been in the hunt in most of his races. Rupp tired running longer, turns back in distance and could finish full of run.
On With God and Moonlit Sea share the Race 3 spot (2nd leg) on the ticket. On With God was a turf closer against a higher level and fits well for the $10,000 price, and Moonlit Sea lost photos in his last two and will bring the late heat.
The last leg should come down to Labhay and Quick Point. Labhay comes in off a winner against non-winners-of-two company and likely will be tough in his neck set of conditions, and Quick Point was third last time after being far back early.
Race 2) #2 K C Twostep, #3 Soupery Dupery, #7 Rupp.
Race 3) #8 On With God, #9 Moonlit Sea.
Race 4) #1 Golden Gem Apple, #2 Sierra Love , #3 Jenna Dawn, #6 Catquick.
Race 5) #7 Quick Point, #9 Labhay.
Total Ticket Cost) 2,3,7/8,9/1,2,3,6/7,9 = $24 for $0.50