by Al Cimaglia
October 6, 2019
Three-year-old pacers and trotters will be the headliners in four stake races this afternoon which are included in the Pick 4. That sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool and will be my focus.
Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.
2-Can't Beach That (6-1)-Got on the engine and faded last week, but speed wasn't holding all that well. Will excuse that effort, has the speed to dance with this crew and will look for a big response.
3-Southwind Ozzi (3/5)-Jug winner and odds-on favorite is looking for 5th straight. He is good enough to score again but hasn't won on a larger oval all year. Will use this big chalk, but will shoot against and will be doing similar in the rest of the sequence.
5-Dancin Lou (9/2)-Broke two back and came 3rd last week. Thinking this is going to be an aggressive try and has the speed to be a major threat if minds manners.
3-Millies Possesion (2-1)-This race seems like a 2-horse affair between the chalks. Best to consider chances to turn the table on #4, keep in mind was off 22 days before last race.
4-When Dovescry (9/5)-Got the top and never looked back last week. May try same script and it wouldn't be a surprise if this ended with the same result.
2-American Mercury (9/2)-Cruised home in last with a 1.49.3 mile. This is a much tougher test but if fires best shot should be in the hunt at a square price.
5-Captain Crunch (2-1)-2-1 in the ML and at that price seems like a value. Second time Lasix today, could be sitting on a big try and has done well at Lex.
6-Bettor's Wish (6/5)-Winner of last two and many will single this awesome colt. May not matter and hasn't tailed off yet, but has raced four more times this season than #5. Could keep going but will shoot against two others.
4-Greenshoe (4/5)-Has won last four races by an average of 4 1/2 lengths. Many will single here, and it is logical, but, at some point the streak ends.
6-Gimpanzee (6-1)-If #4 stumbles my chips will be on one of his stablemates. Has been stuck further outside than this on larger ovals all year except once, and he won that time.
$1.00 Pick 4
Race 5) 2,3,5
Race 6) 3,4
Race 7) 2,5,6
Race 8) 4,6
Total Ticket Cost) $36 for $1.00
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