by Al Cimaglia
January 17, 2020
Tonight, the 0.20 Pick 4 at Cal Expo starts in Race 8 and will be my focus. The sequence has a $30,000 guaranteed pool and a 16% takeout.
Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.
3-Cowboys Dirty Boots (8-1)-Tossing the 1.5 mile race last week and will look for a price. This race could set-up nicely if Roland finds the top or 2-hole without emptying the gas tank. Winner of 10 of 56 starts at CalX could surprise.
5-Vicious Aloicious (3-1)-Drops to the same level as last win and Kennedy takes a seat again tonight. Will need a trip and from this post versus this crew, that could happen.
6-Mister Hat (7/2)-Camera shy plus 4 of last 5 have been on an off-track. Fits and can close so if Plano gets into striking range at the top of the lane chances for success improve.
1-Heza A Real Diamond (5/2)-Comes off a winning effort and a big mile, but does lose Plano. Roland should put in play early and best to respect chances despite moving up in class.
3-Marced Magic (5-1)-Has been in the hunt in last 3 all versus Open company. If Magee can avoid a very slow start and find a nice seat, he should be rolling late passing foes down the lane.
8-Allmyx'sliventexas (3-1)-Rolled by most of these last week from the 7-hole and will probably be looking to get on the engine. Loves to win here, should be bet down and needs to be respected but will look to beat.
1-Uringoodhands (7/2)-Defeated 6 from this field last week from the 2-hole. Kennedy returns and don't see a reason to discount chances tonight.
2-Usgeneral W A Mann (8-1)-Had post-10 last week and came up with a big 56.2 back half and almost caught #1. Looks like a main player and could pop at a square price.
8-Best Dream Seeker (5-1)-Is only 2 for the last 42 but did take a picture on 1/3. Plano was aboard then and is back now, so will use and hope there is an honest pace and cover flow is good.
2-Two Beat (7/2)-7-year-old is looking for first picture at CalX but had 13-wins in 2019. Gets a positive driver change and drops to a soft spot.
7-Herecomesthethundr (8-1)-Drops after racing 4 out of 5 on an off-track. Off-track record is only 1 for 18 and now Kennedy is between the pipes. Could be sitting on a big try at. Winnless in '19 but entire field had only 28 wins.
9-He Grins Again (3-1)-Has been getting checks versus tougher. Positive driver change with Wiseman in the bike. Post could be a challenge but should like the company. Careful if rains come into play as is winless in 24 tries on an off-track.
Race 8) 3,5,6
Race 9) 1,3,8
Race 10) 1,2,8
Race 11) 2,7,9
Total Ticket Cost) $16.20 for $0.20
Check me out on Twitter, @AlCimaglia