by Jerry Shottenkirk
June 10, 2017
Whichever name gets the circle on your past performance sheets, rest assured no one will question your pick with all that much vim and vigor.
Need you be reminded of Palace Malice, Ruler On Ice, Drosselmeyer, Summer Bird, Da’ Tara, Birdstone and Sarava? And that’s just since 2002. Most of those names seem fine today, but did they really look that good going in?
The departure of Classic Empire sent most handicappers for a loop. Not that all of us were attaching our wagon to him. On the contrary. If you wanted to beat him, which was my strategy going in, your price is now affected, regardless of the direction you’ve taken.
There still are a few that will be overplayed. This is not to say they should be eliminated from any lists. But if you were looking for big prices on Twisted Tom, Tapwrit, J Boys Echo or Senior Investment, you probably won’t get what you thought you were going to get. Another factor on the board is Epicharis. He’s 4-to-1 on the morning line but the veterinary and trainer comments reported likely will chase away some supporters. Those who stick around will likely get a better price that they originally thought.
Going on current form and his propensity to close, Senior Investment is the choice here. He’s 12-to-1 on the board, and it would be surprising to get that. Kenny McPeek has the son of Discreetly Mine in top form. The growth he has shown since a sixth-place finish in the Louisiana Derby has put him among the upper crust in the 3-year-old ranks. His narrow win in the less-than-epic Lexington gave him his ticket to Preakness. Bypassing the Kentucky Derby was a wise move as he ran a very good third in Baltimore.
I’m hanging my hat on Senior Investment. He’s the central figure in all of my exotics, and his odds will be high enough to allow for him to be a good straight play.
Senior Investment has the running style that should suit the 1.5 miles of the Belmont. He’s been closing very well, but a look back into his form indicates he can be closer attendance of the pace. If you’re looking for a horse that is capable of putting down his own times of :24, :48, 1:12, 1:38, 2:03 and 2:29, this is el caballo. There are no delusions here that Senior Investment or any other in here can get remotely close to the top times in Belmont history. It’s clear that this isn’t the strongest bunch to come down the pike. If Senior Investment’s personal fractions are close to those listed, he’ll be three or four lengths off the pace early.
Channing Hill keeps the mount on Senior Investment, and that’s a strong positive. Hill is riding very well and Senior Investment’s career has taken a strong turn since he picked up the mount.
Belmont Stakes Picks: 1. Senior Investment; 2. Lookin At Lee; 3. Tapwrit; 4. Irish War Cry
Win Play: Senior Investment
Exacta Key Box: Senior Investment with Lookin At Lee, Tapwrit, Irish War Cry and Gormley
Trifecta and Superfecta: Senior Investment and Lookin At Lee in 1st spot, on top of Exacta horses. Potential adds in on bottom slots of exotics: J Boys Echo and Epicharis
There’s no Triple Crown on the line. Neither Kentucky Derby nor Preakness winners are competing. Plus, Preakness runner-up and 2-year-old champ Classic Empire wasn’t entered at the last minute because of a hoof abscess. Why are we even discussing this race? Well, for a couple of reasons. First, it’s still the Belmont Stakes—Test of a Champion—and some horse is going to win it and become part of the race’s glorious history. Second, 12 three-year-olds will line up to go a mile and one-half and the favorite’s likely to be around 3-1 odds! We don’t see any other races like that the entire year! Why not try and cash a ticket on one of the most wide-open Belmont Stakes in years? To that end…here’s one man’s horse-by horse opinion of Saturday’s Belmont Stakes field, including post position, trainer, jockey and morning line odds, followed by a suggested $100 wagering strategy for the race. 1. Twisted Tom (Brown/Castellano) - 20/1 This is the same trainer/jockey combination responsible for Preakness upset winner Cloud Computing and more than a couple hundred other New York-based winners: 2017 Eclipse Award winners trainer Chad Brown and jockey Javier Castellano. Twisted Tom did not compete in either the Derby or Preakness, but will make his presence felt in the Belmont Stakes…at least in the early going. He is one of the few Belmont runners with early speed. Drawn on the rail, expect him to use that quickness to his advantage and to hold that position to save ground. How good is he, though, and how far can he effectively travel? Good questions. Based on past performances, he’ll need to step up his game quite a bit in here. He’s won a NY-bred maiden and allowance race, plus a pair of ungraded Laurel Stakes races—none in very fast time. Breeding suggests he might handle a mile and one-half trip. Still, he’s got to improve a lot. 2. Tapwrit (Pletcher/J. Ortiz) - 6/1 This guy, along with Irish War Cry, is the most logical win option. Tapwrit exploded to win the Tampa Bay Derby in March, but didn’t follow through on that promise in the Blue Grass and Kentucky Derby. It should be noted that Tapwrit ran better than it looked in the Kentucky Derby. He was bumped out of the gate, rallied in the middle of the track to move up down the backside, waited between horses briefly in the early stretch, dropped to the rail and finished reasonably well. He’ll have no trouble with a mile and one-half distance. He’s had plenty of time to recover since the Kentucky Derby and that’s historically been an effective pattern for Belmont winners. Trainer Todd Pletcher aims for his third Belmont Stakes win. Count this one ‘in’ whatever you do in the top position. 3. Gormley (Shirreffs/Espinoza) - 8/1 The Santa Anita Derby winner has had his moments in the Golden State. He raced wide in the Kentucky Derby to about split the field in ninth place, but really had no excuse. In fact, jockey Victor Espinoza was asking the colt to keep up around the final turn. That’s about the kind of runner he is… just OK against the best of his crop. He has shown speed on occasions, but connections were happiest when he was taken back off the pace in the Santa Anita Derby. Look for a similar type trip in the Belmont Stakes. His Kentucky Derby winning trainer John Sherriffs didn’t finally decide to send Gormley to New York until after a seven-furlong work at Santa Anita seven days before the big race. He’s a difficult call. He would surprise us with a win, but an in-the-money finish at decent odds isn’t outlandish. 4. J Boys Echo (Romans/Albarado) - 15/1 A strong Grade 3 Gotham Stakes win that produced an impressive triple-digit Beyer Speed Figure put this one on the map in early March. Unfortunately, he’s been missing from the headlines ever since. Fourth out of seven in the Blue Grass at Keeneland and 15th in the Kentucky Derby, J Boys Echo has been training at Churchill Downs with the Belmont Stakes on his schedule. He worked nicely at that track a week out from the race and trainer Dale Romans said it was the best the colt had ever worked. J Boys Echo has no early speed and ought to appreciate the mile and one-half Belmont distance. However, he’ll need to display more of that Gotham talent to threaten. 5. Hollywood Handsome (Stewart/Geroux) - 30/1 Trainer Dallas Stewart has a reputation for having longshots fire on big days. He hopes he lives up to that billing with Hollywood Handsome, although the colt doesn’t appear quite as ‘live’ going in as some of those other surprises. It took ‘Handsome five starts to break his maiden in the mud at Fair Grounds. Since then he has one win in four additional starts—an allowance score at Churchill. He finished a close fourth in the Louisiana Derby and fifth in the Illinois Derby. If he were to win the Belmont Stakes he would be the biggest upset in the career of a trainer that specializes in upsets. 6. Lookin At Lee (Asmussen/I. Ortiz Jr.) - 5/1 We’ve been a fan of Lookin At Lee’s since he closed to finish fourth in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile last November. We backed him in the Arkansas Derby when he was third (we needed him to be second), less than two lengths behind injured prospective Belmont favorite Classic Empire. We backed him when he was second to Always Dreaming in the Kentucky Derby at 33-1 (we missed the exotics) and we backed him when he was fourth in the Preakness Stakes at 9.50-1 (we needed him to finish third). You think we’re going to give up on him now? No way. We’ll use Lookin At Lee again and probably miss cashing again. In case you haven’t noticed, sometimes this game can be incredibly frustrating. He rode a golden rail trip to be second in the Derby and made a huge early run in the Preakness before flattening out a bit late. Six days before the Belmont this guy eagerly worked an uncharacteristically fast four furlongs at Belmont in :48 1/5. Can he win? Yes. However, he hasn’t won a race since August, so a more likely outcome for him would be an in-the-superfecta finish. 7. Irish War Cry (Motion/Maragh) - 7/2 When this colt won the Holy Bull at Gulfstream Feb. 4 yours truly believed he had found his Derby horse. Unfortunately, Irish War Cry laid a huge egg in his next start the Fountain of Youth. Rested for four weeks, Irish War Cry returned to win the Wood Memorial in a romp. Four weeks later he was dispatched at 4.80-1 odds in the Kentucky Derby, raced wide just off the early pace, loomed off the turn for home in second and then faded to finish tenth. Now, with five weeks rest since Louisville, he’s the morning-line favorite to win the Belmont Stakes. The major question horseplayers must answer is: Which Irish War Cry will show up? The one that dominated the Holy Bull at Gulfstream and Wood at Aqueduct, or the one that threw in the towel in the Fountain of Youth at Gulfstream and faded from a fight in the Kentucky Derby? The Belmont Stakes was not on trainer Graham Motion’s original plan for this horse, but the colt was training so well that the trainer thought the horse, “needed to be here.” Can’t love him. Can’t ignore him, either. 8. Senior Investment (McPeek/Hill) - 12/1 He’s an experienced performer with nine lifetime starts. That’s both positive and negative. First, the good news: His last race—third in the Preakness Stakes—was the best of his career. He rallied from off the pace in Baltimore and that suggests he’ll have no issue with the extra Belmont distance. Amazingly, he has increased or paired Beyer Speed Figures in each of his nine races. Is there more improvement in the tank? Now, the bad news: In nine career races, only one figure approaches what will be needed to even threaten in the Belmont Stakes. That last big figure move came in the Preakness and this is quick back off such a big improvement. He might hit the super, but we don’t feel as strongly about him as we do about another improving colt in Multiplier. 9. Meantime (Lynch/Smith) - 151 He has speed and should lead the way for about a mile in the Belmont Stakes. After that he should find the water pretty deep. Pass on him in here. 10. Multiplier (Walsh/Rosario) - 15/1 Look out, folks! This guy’s got some positives and he’s going to be about 20-1 odds! Here we go: He’s only run five times, so he’s got upside. His Beyer Speed Figures and Thoro-Graph numbers have improved or paired in each race! He’s won two of five starts--losing first out by two lengths going a mile and seventy yards in the mud as a nearly 3-1 favorite. The winner that day was Hollywood Handsome, who finished fifth to Multiplier last out in the Illinois Derby and is back in the Belmont. The second time out Multiplier lost by a neck before, in his next two starts, breaking his maiden and winning the Illinois Derby. In the Preakness he moved late along with Lookin At Lee (5-1 ML odds in Belmont Stakes) and closed enough ground to finish sixth, less than five lengths back. He has no speed out of the gate, but will add blinkers for the Belmont Stakes and that might keep him closer early. Also, jockey Joel Rosario got to know him last time and that also will help. He’s a bit slower than the best in here on figs, so we don’t know if this one can actually win the Belmont, but he’s got enough positives to be used in exotics. Look out, folks! 11. Epicharish [JPN] (Hagiwara/Lemaire) - 4/1 An invader from Japan is Sunday Silence’s grandson Epicharis. He’s got Triple Crown royalty in his blood. Second to Thunder Snow in the UAE Derby in Dubai, this one has been pointed toward the Belmont Stakes for months. His connections, no doubt, covet a $1 million bonus should he win the race. Is he good enough? Probably not. He’s won four of five, all in Japan—three wins at two and one at three--at distances from one mile to a mile and one-eighth. His lone defeat came to a weaving Thunder Snow in the final strides of the mile and three-sixteenths UAE Derby. Thunder Snow returned to be pulled up when unruly out of the gate in the Kentucky Derby and then was runner-up on turf in the Group 1 2000 Guineas at one mile in Ireland. Exiting US quarantine about one week before the Belmont and facing the best US-based 3-year-olds at a distance further than he’s ever gone are enough challenges facing Epicharis for us to toss this runner. One positive for him is that he has speed in a race that lacks much of that quality. 12. Patch (Pletcher/Velazquez) - 12/1 The one-eyed wonder attracted significant wagering support in the Kentucky Derby, starting at incredibly low 14-1 odds. Consensus suggests that most of that money came from ‘event players’ attracted to Patch because of his backstory. He finished 14th in the Derby and will need to run better than he ever has to hit the board in here. Note: His trainer/jockey combination was responsible for this year’s Kentucky Derby winner Always Dreaming. So, he’s got that going for him, which is nice. Bottom Line One to Beat 2. Tapwrit (6-1) Also Must Use 7. Irish War Cry (7/2) Don’t Ignore 6. Lookin At Lee (5-1) Exotic Upset Special 10. Multiplier (15-1) For Tri/Super Lovers 3. Gormley (8-1) 8. Senior Investment (12-1) 4. J Boys Echo (15-1) Suggested Wager Strategy ($104) 10-cent Superfecta ($24) First: 2,7 Second: 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 8, 10 Third: 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 8, 10 Fourth: 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 8, 10 $.50 Cent Trifecta Box ($30) 2, 3, 6, 7, 10 $1 Trifecta ($50) First: 2 Second: 3, 4, 6, 7, 10 Third: All (12 runners) Race On!
The Belmont Stakes is, of course, a lot more fun when someone is going for a Triple Crown sweep after winning the Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes. But not only is there no Triple Crown on the line this Saturday, neither Kentucky Derby winner Always Dreaming nor Preakness hero Cloud Computing is entered in this Saturday’s Belmont. In a surprise today (Wednesday), probable favorite Classic Empire also was not entered. Last year’s Eclipse Award-winning 2-year-old male will miss the Belmont due to an abscess in the bulb of his right front foot, trainer Mark Casse reported. This is the same foot that was found to have an abscess after Classic Empire finished a well-beaten third as the 1-2 favorite in the Feb. 4 Holy Bull Stakes at Gulfstream Park. The Pioneerof the Nile colt would go on to win the April 15 Arkansas Derby at Oaklawn Park. After the Arkansas Derby, Classic Empire ran fourth in the May 6 Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs despite almost getting knocked down in the initial strides. He then finished second in the Preakness. It has been a frustrating Triple Crown series thus far for yours truly this year. I did not like Always Dreaming in the Kentucky Derby, but he proved me wrong. Always Dreaming, off at 9-2, won that 1 1/4-mile classic by 2 3/4 lengths on a track that Equibase officially labeled as wet-fast. (I think it should have been called sloppy). Thunder Snow was my top pick to win the roses. If he did not win, I thought it might well be Irish War Cry. Much to my chagrin, Thunder Snow decided the Kentucky Derby would be a good time to see if maybe he would rather be a bucking bronco than a racehorse. As for Irish War Cry, he loomed menacingly turning for home, with jockey Rajiv Maragh peeking back, making it appear the rider had a ton of horse under him. But Irish War Cry sputtered down the lane and finished 10th, 16 1/2 lengths behind Always Dreaming. I had not been a believer in Always Dreaming going into the Kentucky Derby. But I did hop on his bandwagon for the 1 3/16-mile Preakness. He headed to Baltimore having won all four of his starts this year by a combined 23 1/4 lengths. I thought he probably would win the Preakness, then move on to the 1 1/2-mile Belmont with a shot at Triple Crown immortality. But once again, Always Dreaming proved me wrong. He was a pace factor until turning for home, then called it a day, eventually ending up eighth as the 6-5 favorite. Lightly raced Cloud Computing, in only his fourth career start, won by a head in a 13-1 upset. Classic Empire, who hounded Always Dreaming early before putting that rival away coming into the stretch, appeared he might well be on his way to a Preakness victory when he had a three-length lead with a furlong to go. But Classic Empire could not quite stave off Cloud Computing’s late bid. To be perfectly candid, this year’s Belmont lost much of its luster due to the absence of Always Dreaming, Cloud Computing and now Classic Empire. A dozen are entered in what shapes up as a wide-open affair. Without further ado, here are my selections for the Belmont: 1. Irish War Cry 2. Epicharis 3. Lookin At Lee 4. Gormley Here’s a horse-by-horse look at the Belmont field, in order of preference, with comments: IRISH WAR CRY (7-2 morning-line favorite): I am going to approach the Belmont by asking this question: If everyone runs their best race, who would win? To me, it would be Irish War Cry. I think the Irish War Cry who took the Holy Bull and the Wood Memorial at Aqueduct has an excellent chance to win the Belmont.But there also is the Irish War Cry who lost the Fountain of Youth at Gulfstream by 21 3/4 lengths and the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs by 16 1/2 lengths. It is difficult to trust Irish War Cry to give a good account of himself this Saturday when he has two resounding 2017 defeats mixed in with his two 2017 victories. Irish War Cry’s performances in the Holy Bull and Wood were flattered by subsequent wins by a couple of his victims in those two races. After Classic Empire finished third in the Holy Bull, he won the Arkansas Derby and almost won the Preakness. After Cloud Computing finished third in the Wood, he won the Preakness. When it comes to the Belmont, a key question always is whether or not a horse has sufficient stamina to succeed at the demanding 1 1/2-mile distance. It is encouraging in this regard that Irish War Cry is by Curlin. Did Curlin win the Belmont? No, but he ran well enough in defeat to win many Belmonts. In 2007, Curlin finished third in the Kentucky Derby and won the Preakness. Sent away as the even-money favorite in the Belmont, he finished second, a head behind the outstanding filly Rags to Riches. How would Curlin look in this year’s Belmont? Talk about a lock. No one in this year’s Belmont field is in the same league as Rags to Riches or Curlin. EPICHARIS (4-1): After winning all four of his starts in his native Japan, he lost the UAE Derby by a scant nose to Thunder Snow. Yes, that’s the same Thunder Snow who tried bucking off jockey Christophe Soumillon in the Run for the Roses. But keep in mind that following Thunder Snow’s Kentucky Derby fiasco, he did redeem himself to some extent by finishing second to Euro star Churchill in a Group I race on the grass in Ireland on May 27. Epicharis could have started in the Kentucky Derby, but his connections thought it would be better to skip that race and have a fresher Epicharis run in the Belmont. Passing the Kentucky Derby would give the colt more time between starts following his hard race in the UAE Derby. Gold Allure, a four-time Group I winner on the dirt in Japan, is the sire of Epicharis. Gold Allure is a son of Sunday Silence, America’s Horse of the Year in 1989. Sunday Silence won the Kentucky Derby and Preakness that year, but then was foiled in his attempt to become a Triple Crown winner when he finished second to Easy Goer in the Belmont. Easy Goer had finished second to Sunday Silence in the two previous legs of the Triple Crown. Late in 1989, Sunday Silence won an epic Breeders’ Cup Classic by a neck over Easy Goer at Gulfstream Park. In one of the biggest blunders in American breeding history, Sunday Silence was not kept in this country for stud duty and became an incredibly successful sire in Japan. One can only imagine how American bloodstock and racing no doubt would have been enhanced had Sunday Silence remained in the U.S.A. Regarding Saturday’s 1 1/2-mile distance of the Belmont, it should be noted that Carnegie is the sire of Epicharis’ dam. Carnegie had the class and stamina to win the prestigious Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe at about 1 1/2 miles in 1994 and finish third behind Northern Spur in the Breeders’ Cup in 1995 before becoming a successful sire in a number of countries, most notably New Zealand. Carnegie’s dam, Detroit, won the Arc in 1980. Just last year, Japan’s Lani finished third behind Creator and Destin in the Belmont. Lani lost by only 1 1/2 lengths. LOOKIN AT LEE (5-1): Seventeenth early in the Kentucky Derby, he rallied to finish second at 33-1. Corey Lanerie’s ride was outstanding. Tenth early in the Preakness, Lookin At Lee finished fourth at 9-1. Hall of Famer Steve Asmussen trains Lookin At Lee. Asmussen has said he feels the longer the race the better for this colt. That could be true, though I have found that most winners of the Belmont do not come from way back a la Lookin At Lee. Many times the Belmont winner is someone who possesses tactical speed. Still, I can’t help but admire Lookin At Lee for the way that, race after race, he keeps coming on in the stretch. True, he goes into the Belmont having lost eight in a row since he won the Ellis Park Juvenile on Aug. 6 of last year. But since his triumph at “the Pea Patch,” he has finished worse than fourth only once, making him a superfecta candidate, as usual, in this Saturday’s Belmont. Also to Lookin At Lee’s credit, he will be the only horse this year to run in all three of the Triple Crown events. GORMLEY (8-1): Will we see the “good” Gormley or the “bad” Gormley? The “good” Gormley could be good enough to win this Saturday. Ever since Gormley won the FrontRunner Stakes at Santa Anita last Oct. 1, he has been on a win-every-other-start pattern. If the pattern holds, he will win the Test of the Champion this year. After the FrontRunner, Gormley finished seventh in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He rebounded to win the Sham Stakes. But then he ran fourth in the San Felipe Stakes. After the San Felipe, he won the Santa Anita Derby. But then he finished ninth in the Kentucky Derby. Gormley’s sire, Malibu Moon, is a son of 1992 Belmont winner A.P. Indy. A.P. Indy is a son of Seattle Slew, who won the 1977 Belmont to complete a Triple Crown sweep. A.P. Indy’s dam is a daughter of 1973 Triple Crown winner Secretariat, whose 31-length Belmont victory in a mind-boggling 2:24 flat is considered by most to be the greatest performance in the history of American racing. A.P. Indy is the sire of aforementioned 2007 Belmont winner Rags to Riches. It is a crime that Rags to Riches, one of only three fillies to ever win the Belmont, is not in the Hall of Fame. Even more absurd, Rags to Riches has yet to even appear on the ballot despite being eligible for the Hall of Fame since 2013. TAPWRIT (6-1): I do think he is an interesting possibility to win. Fifteenth early in the Kentucky Derby after being shuffled back in the initial strides, Tapwrit finished sixth. However, his appeal to me this Saturday is diminished somewhat by the fact he seems to have become a “wise-guy horse,” a horse that is getting more buzz than is probably deserved. Wise-guy horses just do not win very often. SENIOR INVESTMENT (12-1): He won the April 15 Lexington Stakes at Keeneland by a head over a highly regarded Bon Baffert trainee, West Coast. After the Lexington, Senior Investment finished third in the Preakness on May 20, while West Coast won an allowance/optional claiming contest at Santa Anita that same day. West Coast is the 5-2 morning-line favorite in Saturday’s Easy Goer Stakes on the Belmont Stakes undercard. Can Senior Investment pull off an upset in the Belmont? His trainer, Ken McPeek, certainly knows how to win the race with a longshot. McPeek sent out 70-1 Sarava to win the 2002 Belmont. Sarava paid a record $142.50 for a $2 win ticket. I’m still mad at Sarava because I bet $100 to win and $100 to place on Medaglia d’Oro in that Belmont. Medaglia d’Oro, 18-1 in the wagering, finished second and paid $16 to place. MEANTIME (15-1): This son of 2011 Preakness winner Shackleford probably will be a pace factor in this year’s Belmont. He won a 1 1/8-mile maiden race by 7 1/2 lengths on a muddy track April 22 at Keeneland, then ran second in the 1 1/8-mile Peter Pan at Belmont on May 13 when the track was sloppy. Meantime is not without a shot this Saturday, especially with Classic Empire now not in the race. PATCH (12-1): He certainly has an attractive pedigree for the 1 1/2-mile Belmont. He’s a son of 2012 Belmont winner Union Rags. Patch’s dam, Windyindy, is a daughter of a Belmont winner in A.P. Indy. Patch ran second in the Louisiana Derby, not considered one of this year’s strongest stakes races in the lead-up to the Kentucky Derby. He then had a patch of traffic trouble on the far turn, so to speak, and finished 14th. The bottom line is the breeding certainly is there for Patch to do well this Saturday. I just question whether he is good enough to win. Patch also had the misfortunate to draw post 12 for Saturday’s race, this after he had to start from post 20 in the Kentucky Derby. It’s a very tall order to try and win the Belmont with a wide trip. And post 12 greatly increases the possibility that Patch will be wide for much of his journey around the 1 1/2-mile oval. J BOYS ECHO (15-1): Patch finished 14th at 14-1 in the Kentucky Derby, two lengths in front of J Boys Echo, who came in 15th at 47-1. I thought J Boys Echo was a live enough longshot in the Kentucky Derby that I put $5 to win on him out of my $100 bankroll in the Xpressbet Kentucky Derby Wager Guide. When J Boys Echo won the Gotham Stakes by 3 1/2 lengths, he drilled the subsequent winners of the Preakness (Cloud Computing) and Wood Memorial (Irish War Cry). But J Boys Echo just has not done much other than his win in the Gotham. J Boys Echo, a son of Mineshaft, is another runner in this year’s Belmont who is a descendant of 1992 Belmont winner A.P. Indy, 1977 Belmont winner Seattle Slew and 1973 Belmont winner Secretariat. J Boys Echo’s dam, Letgomyecho, is a daughter of Menifee. Sent away as the 5-2 second favorite in the 1999 Belmont, Menifee ended up eighth. Lemon Drop Kid won the 1999 Belmont, with Charismatic finishing third on only three good legs when thwarted in his bid for Triple Crown immortality. TWISTED TOM (20-1): Chad Brown, the 2016 Eclipse Award recipient as outstanding trainer, will have run a different horse in each of the three Triple Crown events this year. Brown was represented in the Kentucky Derby by Practical Joke, who finished fifth at 27-1. Brown then saddled Cloud Computing to win the Preakness, who returned $28.80 for a $2 win wager. Now Brown is running Twisted Tom in the Belmont. Twisted Tom is stepping up in class following back-to-back wins at Laurel in the Private Terms Stakes and Federico Tesio Stakes. It seems to me that he will have to run much better than he did in those races if he’s going to win this Saturday. On the plus side, though, at least Twisted Tom’s dam, Tiffany Twisted, is a daughter of 1995 Belmont winner Thunder Gulch. MULTIPLIER (15-1): Frankly, I will be surprised if this son of The Factor will be much of a factor in the Belmont. Winner of the Xpressbet Illinois Derby, he most recently never threatened in the Preakness when he finished sixth at 19-1. HOLLYWOOD HANDSOME (30-1): In a nutshell, he looks overmatched. Hollywood Handsome is moving way up in class to the Grade I level this Saturday after winning a 1 1/16-mile allowance race at Churchill Downs. He has run in a stakes race twice. Hollywood Handsome finished fourth in the Grade II Louisiana Derby and fifth in the Grade III Xpressbet Illinois Derby. One thing Hollywood Handsome has going for him, though, is Dallas Stewart, a trainer who has quite an impressive record in terms of having a longshot hit the board in a big race. Stewart has done it with Lemons Forever in 2006 (won the Kentucky Oaks at a record 47-1), Macho Again in 2008 (second in the Preakness at 39-1), Golden Soul in 2013 (second in the Kentucky Derby at 34-1), Commanding Curve in 2014 (second in the Kentucky Derby at 37-1) and Tale of Verve in 2016 (second in the Preakness at 28-1).