by Al Cimaglia
February 21, 2020
Tonight, the headliner from a betting standpoint at Cal Expo begins in Race 7, the 0.20 Pick 4 with a $30,000 guaranteed pool. The sequence has a 16% takeout and will be my focus.
Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.
2-Place At The Beach (10-1)-Magee's choice over #3 drops to a spot to shine and at 10-1 in the ML can add some juice to the Pick 4. Could surprise with a clean trip and can be put in play early on.
4-Princess Decline (6-1)-Loses Plano to #1 but will use instead as comes off a sharp win. Needs an honest pace and some live cover but that can happen, if so, should be rolling late.
6-Relentless Dancer (4-1)-Wasn't Plano's choice but Roland has steered in the past and drops to a better spot. Doesn't win often but this a beatable field.
2-Blue Star Maverick (6-1)-Interesting play who could be overlooked and was overmatched last week. This is a spot for Cutting to leave, get sucked around and brush by late.
4-Bunkerhill Bill (5-1)-Makes 3rd start off an injured scratch and last was better. Will look for upswing to continue at a square price.
8-Bettor In The Bank (9/2)-10-year-old has won 41% of CalX starts and can come off cover from an outside post.
9-Coz And Effect (7/2)-Usually in the hunt but hasn't closed the deal. Has finished 2nd in 6 of last 7 starts, needs a trip but does drop. Kennedy may not get on the engine but should get a good early seat and be in the hunt.
1-Asplode Hanover (5-1)-Enjoyed a fortunate trip in last to score at 12-1. Loses Roland but Magee knows well. Probably won't be 12-1 but should be a fair price and can follow a similar script.
2-Reys N A Ruckus (7/2)-Knox trainee has been in sharp form and best to respect especially with the added help of an inside post. Winner of 3 of 7 this year looks like a major player.
8-Explainnotcomplain (4-1)-Plano got the top and never looked back in the same class last week. There are a couple who could leave but thinking an up-close trip is likely and an encore could be in the cards.
1-Gordy Again (3-1)-Longo owns, trains and drives and this is a soft spot for 7-time winner in '19. Using and this is the time for a dialed-up effort.
8-Sweet One (8-1)-Veteran mare has done well here in the past and half of the field doesn't have a win at CalX. Plano knows well and should put her in play early and stay involved to the wire.
Race 7) 2,4,6
Race 8) 2,4,8,9
Race 9) 1,2,8
Race 10) 1,8
Total Ticket Cost) $14.40 for $0.20
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