by Jeremy Plonk
June 15, 2020
Horseplayers will be tasked to look beyond their traditional means in the one-time Test of a Champion. The 2020 Belmont Stakes contenders are fresher, the distance is shorter, and time-honored axioms figure to give way to new-fangled approaches.
The 1/ST BET App, and its exclusive 1/ST INDEX, puts the power of past races and millions of data points at your fingertips. So while Saturday’s Belmont Stakes might not look like past Belmonts, it delivers many characteristics of local stakes at 1-1/8 miles on the dirt. When mining the data, five of the more than 50 factors empowered by the 1/ST BET App stood out in assessing races at this Belmont Park trip.
“Last Race Class” topped all factors as most telling. A whopping 57.1 perfect of all winners were horses who led that handicapping category. Farmington Road, via the Arkansas Derby, and Tiz the Law, last seen in the Florida Derby, score best here, according to 1/ST BET.
“Average Best 2 of Last 3 Speed” also checked in very predictive among the factors. Those leading this category also found the winner’s circle 54.5 percent of the time. The same two runners top this list, reversed in order from above, with Tiz the Law over Farmington Road.
“Horses Beaten Percentage” is the next-strongest category with 40 percent of its leaders delivering a victory. Among the Belmont prospects, Max Player leads over Tiz the Law.
“Distance Pedigree” rates next, and examines a horse’s pedigree for the specific distance of 1-1/8 miles. This category’s top-rated runner wins 36.4 percent in this situation. Tiz the Law leads the way over a tie between Tap It To Win and Modernist.
“Last Late Pace” rounds out of the top 5 factors and hits at a similar 36.4 percent rate as “Distance Pedigree.” The horses who finished fastest late in their most recent race, according to 1/ST Bet, are Sole Volante and Pneumatic.
Final entries for the Belmont Stakes will be drawn Wednesday, and Friday’s updated version of the 1/ST Belmont Stakes Wager Guide will include the 1/ST INDEX handicapping percentages from top to bottom of the Belmont Stakes field, derived from a full assembly of the 10 most successful handicapping factors for the race. The updated 1/ST Belmont Stakes Wager Guide also will include full-card Artificial Intelligence selections for Belmont Park based on the 1/ST INDEX.
Handicappers using the 1/ST BET App also are able to choose their own factors to assess the contenders in every Thoroughbred race across North America, including the Belmont Stakes, choosing between traditional elements such as speed, pedigree, class, jockeys, trainers and more.