July 16, 2020
Opening Day at Saratoga may not look exactly the same as summers past, but today’s 10-race, dual-stakes card rings some familiar tunes. The co-features bring something old (Schuylerville Stakes) and something new (Peter Pan Stakes) to the Spa – the latter transferred from the Belmont meet and as a springboard toward the Travers, which will be run earlier than usual on August 8.
The 1/ST BET app’s ability to process millions of data points over past races can be helpful when looking at a unique, boutique meet like Saratoga. 1/ST BET matches its 52 handicapping categories over similar past races and today’s field to create its AI selections. Here’s looking at today’s main events at the Spa through the eyes of the algorithms.
Best Bet: Race 4 Maiden Special Weight (2:54PM ET)
#5 Valletta 31%W, 49%P, 66%S
#4 Palace Duchess 15%W, 26%P, 34%S
#3 Dial Me Up 12%W, 30%P, 48%S
#7 Gran Chemin 12%W, 34%P, 55%S
Summary: #5 Valletta (5-2 ML) has a 16-point spread to the race’s second choice, widest on the card. In fact, of the top 6 factors that have produced the best results in these types of races historically, Valletta ranks first in this field in 4 of those. She could be the single in the opening day early pick five and pick four wagers.
Race 8 Schuylerville Stakes (5:14PM ET)
#4 Quinoa Tifah 30%W, 51%P, 63%S
#3 Beautiful Memories 18%W, 32%P, 43%S
#8 Hopeful Princess 12%W, 25%P, 38%S
#7 Dayoutoftheoffice 12%W, 26%, 39%S
Summary: Longshot #4 Quinoa Tifah (15-1 ML) checked all of the important boxes of the 1/ST BET factors as her debut win ranked on top in each of the 6 most-important factors in this type of race historically. Heavy favorite #3 Beautiful Memories (6-5 ML) did not score out as highly as anticipated, but clearly leads the rest.
Race 9 Peter Pan (5:46PM ET)
#3 Modernist 23%W, 37%P, 53%S
#7 Caracaro 22%W, 44%P, 62%S
#2 Country Grammer 16%W, 23%P, 36%S
#6 Mystic Guide 16%W, 40%P, 52%S
Summary: #3 Modernist (7-2 ML) ranks No. 1 in the field in the top 2 factors for similar races historically and 7 of the top 15 factors. He has a slight edge on #7 Caracaro (6-1 ML) overall, though that rival leads the way in 5 of the top 9 most-important factors for the Peter Pan Stakes. These two runners dominate as leaders in 12 of the 15 top factors.