by Al Cimaglia
July 25, 2020
The 0.50 Late Pick 4 at the Big M starts in Race 10. The sequence will have a $40,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout, and it will be my focus.
Last night in East Rutherford the driver with the hottest hands was Dave Miller with 4 wins. All 13 races were won by different trainers.
Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.
2-US Captain (3/1)-Dunn sticks and last start was good but the pace was quick and couldn't close the deal. Comes back a week later instead of missing a start and could be sitting on a big try.
5-De Los Cielos Deo (7/2)-Comes off a break at PcD and this guy often disappoints. That said, has faced tough company and banked >$248K last year. Using because this is a comfortable spot and can down this crew with a top effort.
6-Closing Statement (10-1)-Has chased tough winners in last two starts. Fits well with this group and had a sharp effort last week. Big shot at a nice price if Sears can work a smooth trip.
1-Heavenly Sound (3-1)-Took the long way around from the 8-hole and came 2nd on 7/11 versus better. Has only won 3 of 38 here but should be put in play and stay in the hunt to the wire.
5-Unloaded N (7/2)-Has made a couple of U.S. starts and has shown enough to be a player versus this crew. Berry has choices from this post and could end up in the pocket behind #1
3-Ideal Son (10-1)-Will toss last from the 10-hole after being off for 20 days. Gets needed post relief and could get sucked around and use one big brush to sweep by at nice odds.
4-Davids Coming Home (7/2)-Raced well off the restart but last was dull. Will excuse recent effort on a good track, is 0-6 when racing on an off-track. Gingras can be aggressive to get the top and not look back.
5-Let's Foal Around (9/2)-Raced the 2nd half in 55.3 but couldn't make up much ground. This looks like a better spot for Zeron to find a live cover flow and roll by at a square price.
9-Dashboard (3-1)-Post is an issue and being over bet might be a bigger concern after drawing off in last start versus similar. Best to respect but others present better value.
1-Sutton Seelster (5-1)-Dube gunned for the lead from the 8-hole on a sloppy track and rolled home by over 3 lengths at this same class. Hasn't raced since 7/10 like 3 others in this field, should be a major player if dialed on high.
9-Dramatic Point (2-1)-Only 1 for the last 17 and 1-19 at the Big M but that win came last week from the 9-hole at this level. Will add points for a recent win and could grind around again for another picture if upswing continues.
Race 10) 2,5,6
Race 11) 1,5
Race 12) 3,4,5,9
Race 13) 1,9
Total Ticket Cost) =$24 for $0.50
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