by Jeremy Plonk
July 28, 2020
July 28, 2020
We canvass the 1/ST BET statistical database each week to bring you up to speed with racing at Gulfstream Park. Check back weekly for statistical trends and tidbits for premier racing in South Florida. And be sure to support Gulfstream Park by betting with 1/ST BET, the official betting app of Gulfstream Park.
A Rainbow 6 carryover of more than $729,000 rolls into the 4-day racing week that runs Thursday through Sunday. A mandatory payout day for the wager has been set for Sunday, August 2, to close the week. Check back Sunday morning for AI-assisted 1/ST BET app selections and stats. The first 2-year-old stakes races of 2020 at Gulfstream Park take place Saturday with co-features in the Florida Sire Stakes series, the $100,000 Desert Vixen for fillies and the $100,000 Dr. Fager for the colts and geldings.
The Stronach 5 returns after a 1-week hiatus, cancelled July 24 with several races taken off the turf early due to weather.
The Stronach 5 for July 31 will be comprised of the following races (all times Eastern):
Leg A – Laurel Park Race 6 with an approximate post time of 3:21
Leg B – Gulfstream Park Race 8 with and approximate post time of 3:40
Leg C – Laurel Park Race 7 with an approximate post time of 3:59
Leg D – Laurel Park Race 8 with an approximate post time of 4:33
Leg E – Gulfstream Park Race 10 with an approximate post time of 4:48
1/ST BET Top Factors Last Week:
Horseplayers using the 1/ST BET app saw the most success with these 3 of the 52 handicapping filters for Gulfstream Park, each showing a flat-bet profit with its top-rated contender.
Average Speed Last 3 Races
Average Late Pace
Last Turn Time
Trends Last Week:
--Form held well as only 4 of 41 winners were above 6-1 odds, while favorites his just under 42%.
--10 of 11 winners in maiden claiming races last week were 5-2 or less as favorites went 11: 6-2-2.
--Trainer Mark Casse had a solid 5: 2-1-0 week that included $8 and $13 winners. He went 2: 1-1-0 with favorites.
--It was an uncharacteristically quiet week for trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. at 1-for-10 with 3 beaten favorites, his lone winner at 8-5 odds.
--Jockey Miguel Vasquez led the colony with a 27: 6-5-4 mark, and he went 4: 3-1-0 when riding favorites.
--Jockey Ron Allen Jr. had a hand with longshots, scoring $15, $27 and $32 winners in his 3-for-15 week that produced a $2.51 ROI for every $1 bet.
Trends Last 2 Weeks:
--Jockey Hector Berrios has been riding as well as anyone at Gulfstream in recent weeks, going 28: 6-4-5 (21% wins, $1.52 ROI for every $1 bet). The half-dozen wins have come for 6 different trainers and he’s 3: 2-1-0 in his limited tries with favorites.
--Trainer Peter Walder has won all 3 claiming races he’s entered the past 2 weeks, notching $5, $6 and $8 winners on the dirt.
--Trainer Luis Duco has been on point with limited attempts, posting a 4: 2-0-1 record and wins at $10 and $25, both in the claiming ranks.
--Trainer Ralph Nicks placed his maiden claimers well at 4: 2-1-0 with all bet to 3-1 or less odds.
Trends Last 3 Weeks:
--Trainer Georgina Baxter sports an 11: 5-0-3 mark during the span, but only had 1 starter here last week. She’s gone 8: 5-0-2 with those runners at 4-1 or less odds.
--Among the 5 wins the past 3 weeks for jockey Angel Arroyo are a trio at 10-1 or more, paying $22, $28 and $32. His ROI has been $1.35 for every $1 bet during that time despite winning 14% of his mounts.