by Jeremy Plonk
July 28, 2020
July 28, 2020
We canvass the 1/ST BET statistical database each week to bring you up to speed with racing at Laurel Park. Check back weekly for statistical trends and tidbits for premier racing in Maryland. And be sure to support Laurel Park by betting with 1/ST BET, the official betting app of Maryland Jockey Club.
Mid-Atlantic racing venues add Colonial Downs to a busy regional racing schedule this week. Maryland Jockey Club horseplayers and horsemen won’t see an overlap with a Monday-Tuesday-Wednesday weekly line-up at Colonial. Jockey Jevian Toledo picked up career win No. 1,000 last Friday at Laurel Park and should continue to see his book stocked with solid mounts in the absence of injured leading rider Sheldon Russell (both share agent Marty Leonard). Jockey Feargal Lynch has been day-to-day after being unseated in Thursday’s third race. He is named to ride 5 on Thursday’s card to open this racing week.
The Stronach 5 returns after a 1-week hiatus, cancelled July 24 with several races taken off the turf early due to weather. The Stronach 5 for July 31 will be comprised of the following races (all times Eastern):
Leg A – Laurel Park Race 6 with an approximate post time of 3:21
Leg B – Gulfstream Park Race 8 with and approximate post time of 3:40
Leg C – Laurel Park Race 7 with an approximate post time of 3:59
Leg D – Laurel Park Race 8 with an approximate post time of 4:33
Leg E – Gulfstream Park Race 10 with an approximate post time of 4:48
1/ST BET Top Factors Last Week:
Horseplayers using the 1/ST BET app saw the most success with these 3 of the 52 handicapping filters for Laurel Park, each showing at least 35% wins with its top-rated contender.
Jockey Last 1 Year
Average Speed Last 2 of 3 Races
Average Speed Last 3 Races
Trends Last Week:
--Favorites posted a strong 27: 12-7-6 record last week, winning 44% with 70% in the exacta and 93% in the money.
--Trainer Cal Lynch topped the week with a 4: 3-0-1 mark. He had short-priced winners at 1-1 and 6-5, but also a 5-1 return. Lynch went 2-for-2 with jockey Lauralea Glaser, who coming into the week had just 2 winners in 2020 from 15 mounts.
--Trainer Dale Capuano had a 4: 2-2-0 record with logical winners at 9-5 and 3-1, as well as runner-up efforts via 5-1 and 6-1 prices.
--Trainer Lacey Gaudet snapped an 0-13 run dating back to June 20 with back-to-back winners July 24 and 25, posting a 4: 2-0-1 mark for the week.
--After going 0-16 to start July, trainer Jeremiah O’Dwyer suddenly caught fire with a 4: 2-0-1 week, including a $14 winner.
--Trainer Robin Graham was 2: 1-1-0 with limited bids, but blew up the tote with a $32 winner Saturday.
--Jockey Horacio Karamanos won 29% and was 50% in the exacta from 14 mounts, posing a $1.56 ROI for every $1 bet. He went 5: 3-2-0 when paired with favorites.
Trends Last 2 Weeks:
--Favorites have held a stronghold with a 47: 20-9-10 record, netting 43% wins, 62% in the exacta and 83% in the money. They’ve been particularly strong in maiden races at 12: 7-1-1 (58% wins).
--The jockey-trainer tandem of Avery Whisman and Dale Capuano are 3: 2-1-0 with recent bids.
--Jockey Katie Davis is riding well with limited chances. She has a 10: 3-1-2 record that includes a $2.15 ROI for every $1 bet. Davis had a $28 winner last week.
Trends Last 3 Weeks:
--Jockey Horacio Karamanos boasts an 12: 8-2-0 record aboard favorites and hasn’t missed the superfecta in those dozen attempts. He scored those 8 wins for 6 different trainers.