by Jeremy Plonk
September 16, 2020
We canvass the 1/ST BET statistical database each week to bring you up to speed with racing at Gulfstream Park. Check back weekly for statistical trends and tidbits for premier racing in South Florida. And be sure to support Gulfstream Park by betting with 1/ST BET, the official betting app of Gulfstream Park.
The Rainbow 6 jackpot carryover into Thursday’s week opener is $375,348 and the pool is guaranteed at $600,000 … Gulfstream Park-based trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. could have 3-year-olds for Pimlico’s October 3 Preakness and Black-Eyed Susan Stakes. The trainer reported that Ny Traffic, who exited the Kentucky Derby with a minor cut, could be aimed at the final jewel in the Triple Crown if healed. Meanwhile, multiple GP stakes winner Tonalist’s Shape is training locally with an eye toward the fillies’ undercard feature … Nominations closed Sunday for the September 26 quartet of stakes now a week away, featuring the $400,000 In Reality and $400,000 My Dear Girl divisions of the Florida Sire Stakes series.
The Stronach 5 was cancelled September 11, but will return Friday, September 18, and will be comprised of the following races (all times Eastern):
Leg A – Laurel Park Race 7 with an approximate post time of 3:40
Leg B – Laurel Park Race 8 with an approximate post time of 4:19
Leg C – Gulfstream Park Race 9 with an approximate post time of 4:27
Leg D – Laurel Park Race 9 with an approximate post time of 4:58
Leg E – Golden Gate Fields Race 3 with an approximate post time of 5:25
1/ST BET Top Factors Last Week:
Horseplayers using the 1/ST BET app saw the most success with these 3 of the 52 handicapping filters for Gulfstream Park, all showing a positive ROI and at least a 35% win rate last week. The factor “Avg Speed” was a top-3 factor for the third straight week.
Avg Best 2 of 3 Speed
Best Speed Last 3
Trends Last Week
--Trainer Saffie Joseph continued his recent tear with a 9: 4-3-0 week. All but 1 runner went off at odds of 3-1 or less. Teamed with Edgard Zayas, they went 4: 3-1-0. Joseph was nearly unbeatable in 1-turn dirt races.
--Trainer Victor Barboza was on point at 6: 3-0-2 and netted a $2.13 ROI for every $1 bet. While 5 of his 6 entrants were hammered to 2-1 or less odds, he did win with a $15 horse who slipped by the public. Barboza was 2-for-2 with Edgard Zayas riding, and that duo has inexplicably posted a 12: 7-5-0 record in tandem (100% exacta) since April 1.
--Jockey Miguel Vasquez was 25: 8-0-2 on the week, but didn’t turn a profit even at 32% winners. He was 0-13 with horses 7-2 or more and didn’t hit the exacta with any of those prices.
--Jockey Alberto Burgos was 8-16 in the exacta and his ROI was $2.13 for every $1 bet. He had a $51 winner and a 9-1 runner-up among his charges.
Trends Last 2 Weeks
--Trainer Saffie Joseph has gone 23: 10-3-2 over the past 2 weeks with a $1.46 ROI for every $1 bet. Joseph went 11: 7-1-1 with jockey Edgard Zayas.
--Jockey Alberto Burgos has been out of this world with prices. He’s 32: 7-8-1 over the past 2 weeks with 22% wins, 47% in the exacta and a $2.94 ROI for every $1 bet. His winners include $35, $51 and $66 whoppers, along with a 26-1 runner-up.