by Jeff Siegel
November 19, 2020
Aqueduct 7th race. Post time: 2:15 ET
This is nothing more than an educated guess but one worth taking at 12-1 on the morning line. The debuting daughter of Kitten’s Joy out of a turf route-winning half-sister to multiple stakes winner West Hills Giant hails from a capable outfit, draws the barn’s “go-to” rider and sports a steady, easy series of workouts that should have her plenty fit. Trainer J. Englehart shows an excellent percentage with first-time starters (20%), so in a field in which the known element appears average at best on paper, a fresh face such as this New York-bred juvenile filly could spring a major surprise.
Churchill Downs 8th race. Post time: 4:36 ET
2 – Sir Alfred James (3-1)
Has the perfect style for this one-turn mile trip along with a previous win over the Churchill Downs main track, so we’re expecting this lightly-raced gelding to continue to produce rising speed figures in a race that projects to have modest early fractions. The son of Munnings earned a career top number when a close fourth vs. similar last month and not much more will be needed to beat this group. At 3-1 on the morning line he’s a win play and rolling exotic single.