by Frank Carulli
December 31, 2020
Former Maryland Jockey Club oddsmaker Frank Carulli lends his insights into the Stronach 5 each week, a national $1 pick five wager matching races across the 1/ST family of racetracks.
LEG A // LAUREL PARK, RACE 8 (3:55PM ET) // OPTIONAL CLAIMING // 5 1/2 FURLONGS (DIRT)
JOVIS won at 6F off a seven-week layoff, prompting and out-dueling the 5-2 pace setter. He holds a tactical edge over his main rivals and trainer Gary Capuano's runners hold their good form. BELLE TAPISSERIE, favored in his last three starts, settled far off the pace and didn't threaten Jovis, but he could change tactics off the claim and reverse the outcome.
LEG B // GULFSTREAM PARK, RACE 9 (4:11PM ET) // JANUS STAKES // 5 FURLONGS (TURF)
IMPRIMIS, a lightlty-raced but highly productive 7-year-old, posted 101 Beyers in a pair of stakes victories off longer layoffs than today. EXTRAVAGANT KID, a multiple G2-placed turf sprinter in the fall, also benefits from a projected lively pace flow.
LEG C // LAUREL PARK, RACE 9 (4:25PM ET) // MAIDEN CLAIMING // 1 1/16 MILES (DIRT)
RYE STREET made a middle move to the lead before flattening out and enters a high-percentage claim barn with little to beat. LADY FOX took late money on the stretchout from a sprint but ran into traffic as the beaten favorite.
LEG D // SANTA ANITA PARK, RACE 3 (4:32PM ET) // MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT // 6 FURLONGS (TURF)
NAANSENSE makes good sense as a live longshot to use. Her dam was 3-7 and a $99k earner on the grass and her half brother, Streakin' Mohican ($380k), blazed 1:07.24 to a Hollywood Park course record when Bill Spawr trained him, then shaved 1:09 when current trainer Doug O'Neill handled him. TRANSLATE, part of the string brought west by New York-based Robert Falcone, proved talented and versatile when finishing second in all three starts on the turf. SWEET DEVIL, whose dam was 4-10 on turf, could appreciate the cutback in distance after she lacked stretch kick in several well-backed starts.
LEG E // GULFSTREAM PARK, RACE 10 (4:42PM ET) // CASH RUN STAKES // 1 MILE (DIRT)
ADIOS TRIPPI repelled a next-out MSW winner en route to a 32-1 upset in her first route attempt. She returns three months later with a solid work tab for a 24-percent, new acquisition barn. SHEA D SUMMER blazed to a 6-1/2F stakes victory against Florida breds in the slop and is strictly the one to beat. HONORIFIQUE broke his maiden from post 12 in a similar one-turn mile at Churchill Downs and has enough speed to get in good stalking postion from the outside.
SUGGESTED $1 TICKET
LEG A: 2, 3
LEG B: 4, 7
LEG C: 5, 8
LEG D: 4, 5, 6
LEG E: 1, 3, 9
TICKET COST: $72