by Al Cimaglia
February 14, 2021
Cal Expo has a 12-race card scheduled to close out the weekend. The 0.20 Pick 4 begins in Race 9 and it will be my focus. The sequence has a $25,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout.
Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.
2-Bettor In The Bank (6-1)-Veteran drops to a better level for success but will need a cozy trip. Roland takes the lines and he won with this 11-year-old on 1-2 versus easier. Can pass foes down the lane with the right steer and should be a solid price.
5-In For The Chase (5/2)-Steps-up as an odds-on winner and was Cutting's choice over #2. Has won 10 of 31 at CalX and Plested trainee can take another picture versus this crew.
6-Vicious Aloicious (6-1)-Has only 2 wins in the last 42 tries but has shown improvement in the last couple of races. Kerwood's choice over #3 and he might be able to squeeze out a win.
8-Ridonkuloso (9/2)-Plano's choice over the #4 could beat this crew with a top effort. Will likely leave for the top or duck and make an early move. Either way it will be about the trip and how much fight will be left to finish off the mile.
1-Tropical Fruit (12-1)-This mare might be able to beat the boys tonight. This isn't a deep group and Stewart can get sucked around with this post draw and rally down the lane at a nice price.
6-Johnny Ringo (3-1)-Program chalk paced the last half in 56.2 and just missed in last. Gets a post edge over last week's winner #8 and may even the score tonight.
9-Glen (5-1)-Svendsen seems to get the best out of this 4-year-old. From this post the price should be much better than even money, as was the case last week.
1-Jupiter Johnny (5-1)-This is a 1.5-mile race which adds to the confusion. Thinking that Cutting will protect the rail and race near the top of the stack. Has been rallying down the lane but hasn't won in 11 tries at CalX. Not sure any were at this distance.
5-To The Limit (8/5)-No real value at the morning line but does like to roll late and has won 13 of 57 at CalX. Often, the added distance races aren't won by a closer but rather someone who races near the point. That is a concern here.
7-Heza Big Dealer (7/2)-Big Jim 7-year-old is versatile and Plano has some flexibility. Could leave or race off cover and has won 3 of 11 at CalX.
4-California Rock (7/5)-Drops to the softest spot this meet and really has no excuse to not cash the biggest check. Has won 10 of 31 here but is only 4 for the last 28. One move type should be tough to beat with a smooth trip.
Race 9) 2,5,6,8
Race 10) 1,6,9
Race 11) 1,5,7
Race 12) 4
Total Ticket Cost) = $7.20 for $0.20
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