by Al Cimaglia
April 24, 2021
There are nine races scheduled at Cal Expo this evening with the feature coming in Race 6, the Lloyd Arnold Free for All Pace with a $10,000 purse. The headliner also starts the Pick 4 sequence which has a $25,000 guaranteed pool and it will be my focus.
Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.
5-Allmyx'sliventexas (8/5)-It's possible this 8-year-old won't win but it is difficult to make a case that will happen. My only other choice for an upset with a perfect trip would be #1, but recent form has tailed off. Roland should have the morning line choice on the lead from the jump. There isn't a post 10 handicap to deal with and if close to 100% it should be win #9 in 11 CalX starts.
5-Its Pointless (5/2)-Comes off 2 dominant wins but this is a tougher task. Has finished in the money in 16 of 17 CalX starts with 12 wins. Not loving the morning line price but it's best to respect as the Graham barn is batting 24% over the past 30 days.
7-Glen (6-1)-This will be the 2nd start without hopples and caught the pocket ride to win last time. Back in the same class and makes the 2nd start for the Tremblay barn. Could be overlooked at the windows and is a player with an alert start.
9-Johnny Ringo (5-1)-The post will make the price and Johnny can compete with these if he minds his manners. Acted up at the start in last and dropped to the back of the pack. Should be better and so will be the price. There should be an honest pace as a few could be leaving and things could set-up nicely for this 4-year-old.
3-Royal Mistress (9/2)-This mare offers some value at the morning line price and should relish the company. Could be forwardly placed and has a good chance to cash the top check with a sharp steer.
4-Dancingonthesand (5/2)-Drops to a soft spot and the fractions shouldn't be as hot as last time. One move type should be in striking range by mid stretch. Being only 1-23 in 20-21 isn't inspiring but this race is a taffy pull.
5-Brooklyn Moonshine (5/2)-Plano trainee is trip dependent. But this is the level for the pilot to work the right trip and might be a better price than the program odds.
1-Western Devil (5/2)-Started from the rail last time and came away at the back of the pack. Rallied late and just missed. Looking for a big try and a better start.
3-Bet Together (2-1)-Was used to get the lead and then set some solid fractions before being caught at the wire. Could follow a similar script but Kerwood may try to rate the mile differently and has been sharp over the last 4 starts.
6-Gravelsinmytravel (7/2)-Didn't get the best trip in last, was stuck on the rail and was in tight quarters down the lane. Svendsen takes over and that's a positive driver change that could make a meaningful difference.
7-Trump Train (15-1)-Raced wide on the back side and then came 1st over down the lane, that was a bumpy journey. Plano takes the lines this time and he had success beating easier on 2-28. Should be a nice price and looks worthy of a swing versus this crew.
Race 6) 5
Race 7) 5,7,9
Race 8) 3,4,5
Race 9) 1,3,6,7
Total Ticket Cost) $7.20 for $0.20
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