August 2, 2021
It's Mandatory Payout Day at Assiniboia Downs and if one lucky player takes down the Jackpot Pick 5 on Manitoba Derby Day, the track has guaranteed a cool $1,000,000 'Single Winner Guarantee' return. If more than one winner exists, you'll reap the benefits of the Mandatory Payout, which includes a $327,526 Carryover and new money that is expected to exceed $1 Million. You’ll have to get outside the box to take down the $1 Million bounty on the single ticket guarantee, but the reward would be epic. To help you analyze the sequence, the 1/ST BET app’s artificial intelligence picks for each of the pick five races have been provided.
RACE 4 (10:05PM ET) // CLAIMING // 5 1/2 FURLONGS (DIRT)
#5 Greelys Spirit (6-1 ML) // 27%W
#3 Norm’s Place (5-2 ML) // 25%W
#6 Delta Reward (5-1 ML) // 14%W
#7 Made for Saturday (15-1 ML) // 10%W
Comments: 9-5 morning line favorite He’s a Lady Tamer is not in the 1/ST BET app’s top-4 projections, so perhaps this is a race right off the jump to separate from the public in search of the single-ticket jackpot. Greelys Spirit cuts back in distance while rising in class off a win. Fellow price player Made for Saturday steps up in class off the claim and has natural early speed.
RACE 5 (10:35PM ET) // CLAIMING // 5 1/2 FURLONGS (DIRT)
#4 Hilda (3-1 ML) // 27%W
#2 Dreamcastle (8-1 ML) // 25%W
#3 Button Mushroom (5-1 ML) // 13%W
#5 Chicle Sparks (15-1 ML) // 10%W
Comments: 11-year-old Dreamcastle took several starts in 2020 into her form cycle to find the winner’s circle and the upset hope would be that she’s rounding back into form. Chicle Sparks has a win, third and fourth in her last 3 attempts at this 5-1/2 furlong distance, but soiled form at longer trips.
RACE 6 (11:05PM ET) // CLAIMING // 7 1/2 FURLONGS (DIRT)
#2 Rascal Candy (8-1 ML) // 31%W
#5 Two Terms (8-5 ML) // 23%W
#4 Takinthenitetrain (5-2 ML) // 11%W
#7 Big Rocket Man (10-1 ML) // 11%W
Comments: Two Terms will be heavily bet for high percentage and high ROI trainer Michael Nault. If you’re going to get outside the public on these kind of single-ticket hopes, these are the horses that have to lose. Five-time winner Rascal Candy drops into a non-winners of 2 lifetime given that his victories have come against restricted Manitoba-bred company. Big Rocket Man is 6 of his last 7 in the money for this same condition, waiting to find the right bunch.
RACE 7 (11:35PM ET) // $100K MANITOBA DERBY // 1 1/8 MILES (DIRT)
#3 Myopic (8-5 ML) // 23%W
#9 Warrior’s Hero (10-1 ML) // 23%W
#8 Yerosilverbiz (30-1 ML) // 15%W
#10 Flash of Glory (8-1 ML) // 10%W
Comments: Again, to get a single-ticket situation, you’ll need to knock off the ex-Baffert Manitoba Derby favorite Myopic, now in the Robertino Diodoro barn. Flash of Glory and Warrior’s Hero finished a neck apart when first and third in the local Derby Trial prep, both closing at the end of a mile and getting an extra furlong tonight. Yerosilverbiz is stakes-placed locally after leaving the Rob Atras barn on the NYRA circuit earlier this year.
RACE 8 (12:05AM ET) // MAIDEN CLAIMING // 6 FURLONGS (DIRT)
#6 Chicago Roll (3-1 ML) // 27%W
#5 Mr. Fallon (8-1 ML) // 15%W
#2 Benroy (5-2 ML) // 13%W
#1 Midnight Judge (2-1 ML) // 12%W
Comments: Mr. Fallon is the only price player amongst this leading quartet. He’s been a top-4 finisher in 6 of 7 starts. Morning line favorite Midnight Judge is an ex-Golden Gate synthetic performer who disappointed in his local maiden special weight unveiling and now drops in class. Chicago Roll is 0-17, so you don’t have to settle for that short price. Benroy goes for a 7% barn at the meet.