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1/ST BET AI Picks: Prairie Meadows Mandatory Payout Pick 5 | Monday, August 16

by Xpressbet

August 16, 2021

Monday’s Prairie Meadows card in Iowa features a mandatory payout in the Pick Five jackpot wager. A massive $417,949 carryover will entice horseplayers into the bet with a player’s advantage.

To help you tackle the Prairie Meadows races, the 1/ST BET app’s artificial intelligence provides its look at the fields. Selections provided by the 1/ST BET app measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections. You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer.

We’ve included the track’s morning line odds with each entrant.

Prairie Meadows // Race 6 // 7:07 PM ET // claiming // 6 furlongs

#7 Sailor Chow (9-2) // 27%W
#6 Alan’s Argument (2-1) // 21%W
#5 Flat Rock (5-2) // 14%W
#1 Breakin Daylight (8-1) // 13%W

Comments: Sailor Chow out-finished Alan’s Argument by 1-1/4 lengths last time out in a similar race and distance. Alan’s Argument now makes his second start since the Karl Broberg claim, typically a move-up situation for the barn. Flat Rock was second for the level two starts back before trying tougher and fits. A three-deep call would be appropriate.

Prairie Meadows // Race 7 // 7:33 PM ET // starter allowance // 5 furlongs

#2 Lookin For Eight (7-2) // 21%W
#3 Coco Tiger (8-5) // 19%W
#6 North Side (8-1) // 17%W
#4 Boo Be Right (5-1) // 15%W

Comments: Lookin For Eight and Coco Tiger are uncoupled stablemates for Karl Broberg. In a race with a tremendous amount of early speed, Lookin For Eight should be rallying late – but 5 furlongs at Prairie Meadows is no easy task for a closer. Top two give strong early-late combo.

Prairie Meadows // Race 8 // 7:59 PM ET // allowance // 6 furlongs

#7 Red White and Loud (7-2) // 28%W
#1 News Box (6-1) // 15%W
#4 Big Barrel (6-1) // 13%W
#2 Warrior’s Lullaby (5-1) // 11%W

Comments: Co-highest win projection in the Pick Five sequence at 28% for Red White and Loud. The 13-point spread between top picks also matches the highest in the sequence. Iowa-bred Red White and Loud leaves state-bred confines for open company, but has won two 6-furlong allowance races at the meet and is pace-versatile. News Box provides a late threat if able to weave out a trip from inside. Consider a single or two-deep proposition, based on the AI.

Prairie Meadows // Race 9 // 8:25 PM ET // allowance // 6 furlongs

#2 Lucky D (8-5) // 28%W
#5 Heza Wild Ride (6-1) // 15%W
#3 Jaysker (4-1) // 13%W
#6 Dazzl’n Mischief (5-1) // 11%W

Comments: Co-highest win projection in the Pick Five sequence at 28% for Lucky D. The 13-point spread between top picks also matches the highest in the sequence. Lucky D has won 3 straight and is 2-for-2 this year with wins by 5 and 13 lengths against state-bred claimers. Makes the minor rise into entry-level allowance while red-hot for high-percentage trainer and jockey. Lots to like as most likely winner on the card and logical single. Heza Wild Ride would be the late threat to Lucky D, cutting back in distance and with a prior meet win at 6 furlongs from off the pace. Could make a nice exacta, though an upset on the win end would be a surprise.

Prairie Meadows // Race 10 // 8:51 PM ET // maiden special weight // 5-1/2 furlongs

#1 Nautical Miss (5-2) // 20%W
#2 Samira (9-2) // 18%W
#6 Gotta Have Faith (5-1) // 13%W
#7 C L Legacy (4-1) // 13%W

Comments: Tightest race in the Pick Five, according to 1/ST BET, with a sequence-low 20% win projection for the top pick and just a 2-point spread between top choices. Nautical Miss wheels right back for the same jockey-trainer combo as the big Race 9 favorite. Samira and CL Legacy should improve tonight with additional distance. Those three provide the most interest.