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Al Cimaglia: Pocono Downs Late Pick 4 Analysis | Saturday, August 21

by Al Cimgalia

August 21, 2021

It is Sun Stakes Saturday at Pocono Downs featuring star-studded fields of top trotters and pacers with more than $2,000,000 in purses over the 14-race card. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11. That sequence will include two $300,000 stakes, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

1-Lawless Shadow (4-1)-Mohawk invader cashes checks versus tough foes on a regular basis and makes a rare appearance on a smaller oval. But make no mistake, a sub-150 mile shouldn't be an issue and has the gate speed to be in play from the start.
2-Southwind Gendry (5-1)-Burke 3-year-old tries Lasix for the 2nd time and is usually in the hunt at the wire. Gingras can be quick off the gate and looks like a player in a competitive affair.
4-Perfect Sting (5/2)-This is a fine colt who has hit the board in all 7 starts this year recording 3 wins and 3 second place finishes. Has big gate speed but doesn't need to have the lead from the start to win.
5-American Courage (10-1)-This is a price shot that is worth a swing and draws the choice post. Does its best work on smaller ovals and can dance with this group. Kakaley knows well and with a sharp steer could post an upset, but a good start is key.
7-Rockyroad Hanover (3-1)-This post draw makes things more difficult for Dunn but there should be a very lively opening half posted. Rocky can finish fastest of all with a live cover flow and could go off at a solid price.

Race 12

1-Captain Corey (2-1) & 1a-Delayed Hanover (2-1)-Svanstedt entry draws post 2 and 3 respectively. Dunn will steer #1a and may look to get an up-close seat and come off the pace. Ake drives Captain Corey and if the Hambo victory didn't take too much out of this colt it could be another gate to wire score.
6-Johan Palema (3-1)-Here is the other Svanstedt pupil that looked to be the Hambo program favorite before a dismal 7th place finish in the Elimination. According to reports there isn't any physical issues and has been training well. Gingras will likely blast out and could have the best chance of posting an upset with a return to top form.

Race 13

5-No Lou Zing (5/2)-It has been a bumpy 4-year-old season for this Takter trainee. After banking over $520,000 last year this will be only the 7th start this season and has booked just one win. That should change here, draws well and drops into a soft spot. If all systems are dialed on high Dunn should get the top and make every call a winning one.

Race 14

1-Backstreet Shadow (3-1)-Comes off a big try from the 2nd tier in the Dan Patch and has been in the hunt in the last 4 races but hasn't sealed the deal. Has raced well on smaller ovals and has hit the board in all 4 starts here with 2 wins. Tetrick could get the pocket behind #2.
2-Nicholas Beach (5/2)-Was used hard from the 8 hole in the Sam McKee to get the top and just missed. Shouldn't have much trouble getting on the engine here. Looks like a main player and has won 5 of 6 at PcD.
6-Ruthless Hanover (5-1)-Has been cashing some checks at M1 chasing tough customers and gets a different set of hands in Callahan today. Has done good work at this track and could pop at a price if the speed falters.
8-Allywag Hanover (4-1)-Has been in sharp form in the last 3 at the Big M and won his only start at PcD. My guess is TMac will get a decent seat, pull and grinded it out. This 4-year-old can take air, so could roll by down the lane if they battle up top.

My Ticket

Race 11) 1,2,4,5,7

Race 12) 1,6

Race 13) 5

Race 14) 1,2,6,8

Total Ticket Cost) $20 for $0.50

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