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Al Cimaglia: Hawthorne Racecourse Late Pick 4 Analysis | Sunday, September 12

by Al Cimaglia

September 12, 2021

Hawthorne Racecourse has a 14-race card set for this evening. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 begins in Race 11. The sequence has a $25,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

1-Zero Net Profit (5/2)-Wired the field in last with a 59.1 opening half and probably won't be able to get that much of a breather tonight. Usually, this filly is slow leaving and races from the back. Will look for more speed tonight in its 2nd Haw start and bank on the upswing to continue.
5-Marcia (3-1)-Has won 3 of 9 here and this will be the 4th start back in the Miller barn. Bender has steered in the last 3 and the last 2 have been versus this kind. One move type should be in the hunt versus this crew with a sharp steer.
6-Johnnys Gal June (4-1)-This is a soft bunch and although only 1-13 is still worth using. Team Leonard entry makes the 2nd start for them and she did pace a lively 2nd half in last. This four-year-old might be racing into shape for the upcoming Night of Champions and will look for a strong effort.

Race 12

4-Loyz Say When (6-1)-This Leonard 2-year-old trainee makes its 4th career start and has been racing evenly. There isn't much form in this race. This filly has stayed on stride and has a pilot that can make the most of an inside trip.
6-Todos (4-1)-Three-year-old filly broke as an even money favorite on 8-30. Has built a foundation at the fairs and should be a player if minds manners.
8-Freddie Da Fox (3-1)-One of these days or years this 6-year-old will win again and there isn't anything to fear in this field. Hopefully the price won't be short, 0-27 in Stickney and 0-32 in the last 2 years but just missed in the last 2 starts.

Race 13

2-Lucky Crusader (5-1)-Won versus similar 2 back and then moved up and was in too deep. Now back with the kind where a win could happen. Should get a way in a good seat and could use one nice move to sweep by down the lane.
4-Upbeat Big Guy (25-1)-The program shows this 7-year-old moving up in class but this really isn't any tougher than NW310CL. That said, is only 1-27 lifetime and the trainer/driver takes a seat so might not be bet. But raced the last half in 55.3 on 8-30, and if the pace is solid Big Guy should be rolling down the lane.
6-Et Tu Brute (7/2)-Seekman tried a gate to wire plan versus the $8k claimers in last and that didn't work. Same pilot tonight and this is a better spot. The Hansen barn doesn't race often but has booked 33% winners over the last 30 days. Should get the top here and won't have to go .55 in the opening half. Looks like a main player with a smooth trip.

Race 14

2-Sharia (12-1)-Price shot will need a good steer and from this post should be close to the lead throughout. This mare has been an every other good start horse, and this is the time for a good try.
8-Dome With Kisses (5-1)-Comes off a win and now steps-up. Lasix kicked in the 2nd try and this is not a deep group so will use after a 57.1 back half. Has hit the board in 4 of 6 with 2 wins at Haw and should offer a solid price. The Eckley barn has batted 28% winner in the past 30 days and Wilfong should be able to get into striking range by the top of the lane.

My Ticket

Race 11) 1,5,6

Race 12) 4,6,8

Race 13) 2,4,6

Race 14) 2,8

Total Ticket Cost) $27 for $0.50

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