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Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

October 3, 2021

The Northfield Park feature rolls in Race 13, an Open Trot with a $20,500 purse. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

1-Betcha Didnt Know (4-1)-Has been in too tough in the last 4 starts and now takes a drop to the same level as the last picture. Meyers should get away well, then follow the one below and look to pounce late.
4-Impulse Buy (6/5)-Wired the field at 4/5 in last and now is back in at the same class. Merriman should be following the same script tonight and there isn't much gate speed in this field.

Race 12

3-Authentic Hanover (3/2)-Was claimed in last, took the lead near the 1/2 and sped away to draw off by 6 lengths at 4/5. Has raced well the last 2 times when claimed. The question is whether the new addition to the Kreiser barn can repeat the same effort. Will respect chances of another trip to the winner's circle at a tiny price.
4-Gotti (9/2)-Comes out of the same race as the choice but started slowly and had no chance. Tonight, this race could set-up differently. Merriman will probably leave and could get the point early on. The chalk might take over the lead, but this 8-year-old could make the most out of a pocket ride.

Race 13

3-Mac Deeno (6-1)-Winner in 10 of 29 starts this year could be overlooked at the windows. Comes back in sequence and should be forwardly placed or might get on the engine. This 8-year-old has won 17 of 51 at NFLD, the barn is batting 26% winners in the last 30 days and best to not overlook versus this crew.
7-In Secret (20-1)-Wrenn chooses the Burke trainee over #5 as the two swap drivers. This 9-year-old is making only his 5th NFLD start and has hit the board in 3 of 4 with 2 wins. Broke last week but Wrenn knows well and should offer a juicy price. Has the gate speed to get a good seat and will take a swing with another long shot in a difficult race to read.

Race 14

3-Cross Country (5/2)-Since being a sick scratch on 8-29 form has been dull. If right, this team Ebersole trainee can leave in a hurry and get the jump on others. Willing to use and looking for better odds than the morning line.
5-Dragonology (2-1)-Not excited about the program price but does take a significant drop. Wrenn returns, he knows well and will probably be bet down.
6-Whos Better (10-1)-Won with Wrenn steering in gate to wire fashion at this class on 8-29. Stahl takes the lines and that should help the price. Has the gate speed to get on the engine, and this winner in 3 of 5 NFLD starts looks worthy of a swing.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

Total Bet=$24

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