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Al Cimaglia: Woodbine Mohawk Park Pick 5 Analysis | Saturday, October 16

by Al Cimaglia

October 16, 2021

The main events at Woodbine Mohawk Park feature two-and three-year-olds competing in Ontario Sires Stakes-Gold Super Finals. The 0.20 Early Pick 5 starts the program. The sequence has a $100,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 1

3-Always A Hotshot (9/2)-Makes only the 4th start this year, so there have been issues. But drops after racing in 151.1 and this is soft spot if close to 100%.
5-Play Jet ray (5/2)-Has only 1 win in 19 starts in 2021 but comes off the best race in quite a while on 10-11. Returns quickly at the same class and will look for the upswing to continue.

Race 2

7-Prohibition Legal (4/5)-Winner of 7 in 8 starts looks to be a clean trip away from cashing the top check. This filly has been dominant and that shouldn't change tonight at a tiny price.

Race 3

7-Mischevious Rose (3-1)-Will be using a couple to try to take down the morning line choice #7 who has been the queen of this class. McClure will need to provide an efficient steer and hope for a bumpy journey by the chalk to take a picture.
8-Adare Castle (7/5)-Hasn't lost to this kind all year and it would be no surprise if that streak stays intact. My gut says there could be an upset but can't leave off the ticket.
10-Dabra Day (6-1)-Willing to take a swing because the price should be right, and my take is this filly is talented enough to beat the chalk. Does show some breaks but could leave fastest of all if stays flat. If she lands on top without using much gas it could be an interesting finish.

Race 4

1-Scarlett Hanover (5/2)-Finished a fast-closing 2nd after being off over 2 weeks and facing older. Gingras takes the lines and that won't hurt. This filly has been tough when facing classmates and should be a major player again.
3-Dabarndawgswatchin (3-1)-Has hit the board in 12 of 13 and missed last week after taking the long way around in the same race as the 2 mentioned here. That was probably a tune-up and would expect Jamieson to be closer to the lead throughout.
8-Voelz Delight (7/2)-Beaten chalk was far back early and the pace was slow, willing to toss that as a tune-up for the big money. There should be a lively pace so figures to be in the hunt at the wire.

Race 5

8-Fashion Frenzie (8/5)-Morning line chalk was caught by #9 on 10-4 after leading throughout and has a chance for revenge here. Roy will probably look to take the point and control the mile.
9-Logan Park (2-1)-Flew home with a 26.3 last quarter and that was the 1st time for Lasix. MacDonald should have the son of Archangel within striking range at the top of the lane. It's best to respect the chances of closing fastest of all.

My Ticket

Race 1) 3,5

Race 2) 7

Race 3) 7,8,10

Race 4) 1,3,8

Race 5) 8,9

Total Ticket Cost) $7.20 for $0.20

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