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Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis | Monday, October 18

by Al Cimaglia

October 18, 2021

Northfield Park has a competitive 15-race card set for this evening. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 begins in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

4-Two Of Hardts (25-1)-Going to spread here with the chalk starting in the 2nd tier and will look for a price. This 3-year-old has enough gate speed to race near the top and Sugg can provide a good steer.
6-Heerz Hoosierhunny (20-1)-Here is a longshot from team Kash that has hit the board in 5 of 10 here with 2 pictures. Makes the 2nd start in a new barn and has been tossing hints, looks worthy of a swing at a juicy price.
7-One Last Laugh (6-1)-Last start was the 1st time in 9 races this 4-year-old didn't hit the board, so willing to excuse. Does best when racing near the top and Wrenn could leave. There isn't much gate speed inside and should offer a fair price.
9-Out On Bail (2-1)-Four-year-old sports a perfect 2 for 2 record at NFLD but those wins didn't come from the 2nd tier. Will respect connections but may have issues getting into striking range.

Race 12

2-Chasin' Dreams (9/2)-Dropped to this level but couldn't get into the race from post 8 as the pace was slow. Fits with this kind and the trip should be better.
4-Robin Banks(2-1)-Shipped in from ScD and dropped and popped at .50 on the $1.00. Has hit the board in 8 of 12 at NFLD with 5 pictures. Program chalk looks the part.

Race 13

3-Lyons Snyder (9/2)-Has been in the mix but lately, hasn't showed enough pop late in the mile. This is a beatable group and may get an efficient trip from this post.
7-Music Is Art (9/5)-Just missed from post 9 and now drops a notch. Wrenn should have the pedal down and if he lands on the point in good shape it could be a long night for the others. Looks like a real threat but can't completely trust.

Race 14

1-Y S Joe (9/2)-Using from this post and Davis Jr seems to get along well. Needs to be on the point, and should be there if dialed on high.
6-Imideal Hanover (4-1)-Has not seen real action since 8-23 but did qualify twice at NFLD in October. Appears ready for a big effort and the Rhoades-Merriman combo merits respect.

My Ticket

Race 11) 4,6,7,9

Race 12) 2,4

Race 13) 3,7

Race 14) 1,6

Total Ticket Cost) $32 for $1.00

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