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Al Cimaglia: Breeders Crown Early Pick 4 Analysis | Friday, October 29

by Al Cimaglia

October 29, 2021

Tonight, top two-year-olds are the headliners in the Breeders Crown Finals at the Meadowlands. The 0.50 Early Pick 4 starts in Race 6 and each leg is a $600,000 Final. The sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout, and it will be my focus.

The weather is likely to be an issue. Rain and gusty winds are expected so an off-track was taken into consideration for the selections below.

Don't forget there will be a Jackpot Hi-5 mandatory payout in the final race at the Meadows this afternoon.

Race 6-BC-2-year-old colt trot-Purse $600,000

1-Cool Papa Bell (15-1)-Will take a swing for a price with a freshman that usually is in the hunt and drew off in the only start on an-off track. Sears should keep him in play and has hit the board in 7 of 8.
3-Branded By Lindy (9/5)-This morning line chalk has looked the part winning 8 of the last 9. Should be tough with a smooth trip. Has won 3 of 3 on an off-track and is 1 for 1 at the Big M.
6-Double Deceiver (6-1)-A David Miller usual drive, which comes off a solid elimination race in which he finished well and didn't use up much gas, is one to circle. Has hit the board in 8 of 9 and should be a good price.

Race 7-BC-2-year-old filly pace-Purse $600,000

4-Teeacherous Dragon (10-1)-Pellling trainee has only 6 starts this year, the least in the field, was rested and raced well last week. The last line is better than it looks as the post 10 starting slot didn't help the cause. Best to respect and the price should be right.
5-Queen Of Success (4-1)-Alagna pupil pulled off an upset last week and won't be 23-1 tonight but Niki Hill won't be 2/5 either. Regardless of not being a juicy price this time there is no reason to discount chances of an encore.
7-Niki Hill (2-1)-Lost for the 1st time in the elimination but did pace the back half in .54 and this is the race that matters. It would be no surprise if a new winning streak starts tonight.

Race 8-BC-2-year-old filly trot-Purse $600,000

2-Selfie Queen (10-1)-May not be at quite the same level as the 2 below since breaking on 9-29 in the Mohawk Million. But draws well and likes to be on the engine or close to the top. Zeron knows well and he can win a big race. Has banked more money than anyone except #10 and could trip out at a price.
3-Lilbitalexis (5/2)-Made the most of an efficient trip to roll by #2 down the lane last week. Dunn could work that same trip again.
5-Raised By Lindy (3-1)-Gingras got on the engine in the elimination, went to the half in 58.3 which led the way to a picture. That same script has little chance of working this time but should be in the hunt at the wire anyway.

Race 9-BC-2-year-old colts & gelding pace-Purse $600,000

2-Monte Miki (7/2)-Held off the odds-on chalk in last, now has won 5 of 6 and has never missed the board. This Evers pupil is versatile and Zeron has options from this post, best to not overlook.
3-Pebble Beach (3-1)-This colt is another who can win on the point or coming off cover. Has won 7 of the last 9 and hasn't finished worse than 2nd on a 1 mile over. Form is razor sharp, TMac should work a smooth trip and be in striking range turning for the money.
4-Six Feet Apart (9/2)-Dave Miller had the choice of 3 Brown trainees and landed here. Took down Beach Glass, the big chalk last week and might be peaking at the right time.

My Ticket

Race 6) 1,3,6

Race 7) 4,5,7

Race 8) 2,3,5

Race 9) 2,3,4

Total Ticket Cost) = $40.50 for $0.50

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