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Al Cimaglia: Woodbine Mohawk Park Early Pick 5 Analysis | Monday, November 1

by Al Cimaglia

November 1, 2021

Woodbine Mohawk Park starts the week with an 11-race card. The popular 0.20 Pick 5 begins the program. The sequence has a $100,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 1

4-Droptherakefreddy (8-1)-Comes off a sick scratch which is a concern, hasn't raced since 9-28. But should be a player if ready for a big try. Showed good speed in the previous 2 starts. This is a softer spot, faced Beach Glass twice, and is worth a swing at this price.
7-Slick Richard (10-1)-This another from the Byron barn who also has missed some time, has speed and should be a solid price. Willing to look for value in race where the morning line chalks are 0-32, 0-13 and 0-20.
10-Katies Bet (6-1)-Betting Line colt was 15 lengths back at the 1st call and raced big in the slop to finish 2nd. That effort was worth respecting, went the back half in 56.2 with a 27.2 last quarter. Roy should get him off the gate tonight.

Race 2

2-Quebecoise (5/2)-Raced large from post 9 in the slop versus this kind but was no match for #4. Before that was a winner of 2 straight and should have the best chance of an upset if the chalk has a bumpy journey.
4-Day To Party (7/5)-Bulldozed this field last week drawing off on a sloppy track by almost 6 lengths. This 2-year-old has the best speed and should win again with a decent trip.

Race 3

1-Never Mind N (10-1)-Takes a good step up in class after drawing off by 4 lengths on 10-23. Took control after going 1st over and sped away to win in 153.4. Not feeling a 10-1 morning line but should offer a solid price.
2-Threefiftytwo (3-1)-Has been trying hard and comes off a big try from the 9 hole in the slop. Fits well with this crew.
8-Gp Dreamin (4-1)-Could leave and get a good seat. The pace should be lively and if so, Jamieson can have this mare in striking range at the top of the stretch.

Race 4

7-Major Hill (3-1)-Won in 151.1 a couple of starts back and was claimed. Hasn't had the same vigor since then but has drawn poorly in both starts. Did go the last half in 55.2 last time and JMac should have him much closer to the lead tonight.
8-Quan Blue Chip (7/2)-Will toss the last start from post 10 in the slop. Has the ability to grind his way around and beat this group. Has won 12 of 48 at Wbsb, will respect the Filion-Moreau combo and look for a big try.

Race 5

3-Ladyflix (3-1)-Tries hopples after suffering a break at the wire which cost a 2nd place check. Went off at 4/5 and looked the part until breaking and will use thinking she will mind her manners.
5-Global News (7/2)-Had an impressive win on 10-18 and then was a judges scratch. Should be a main player if 100% and probably best to lean that way.

My Ticket

Race 1) 4,7,10

Race 2) 2,4

Race 3) 1,2,8

Race 4) 7,8

Race 5) 3,5

Total Ticket Cost) = $14.40 for $0.20

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