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Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis | Monday, November 15

by Al Cimaglia

November 15, 2021

Northfield Park has a 14-race card scheduled with the $1.00 Late Pick 4 beginning in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

1-Y S Joe (4-1)-Davis has been on this veteran enough to know what type of trip he needs to negotiate for a picture. Should be in the hunt with an efficient journey.
3-A Farm Boys Success (2-1)-Has been facing better and should be a player. The best plan for success will probably be to get on the point. Should be a short price and is camera shy, has only 4 wins in 50 starts the past 2-years.

Race 12

4-Dylans Future (7/2)-Raced on the engine at this class last week and faded late. The result is not noteworthy as this 3-year-old is only 1-24 this year, but doesn't normally race on the point. He did race well and it wasn't the normal plan, so should be braver this week and best to respect.
6-Silent Splendor (2-1)-Raced big to win from post 9 on 10-26 and then missed a couple of starts. Expecting this 3-year-old to be ready for battle and will look for a big try.

Race 13

3-Dragon Ruler (4-1)-Merriman had the pedal down versus this kind last week and fell short. This is another case of trying something different, usually isn't on the lead early in the mile. Could finish better this time and no one from the last field is racing here.
6-A J Morelli (9/2)-Drops into a good spot but needs a sharp steer and an honest pace. Fisher should be rolling late, or he could leave and get in line near the one above.

Race 14

1-Totally Kissed (12-1)-Winner of 9 in 41 starts this year has the speed to make some noise but Lems will need to work an effective trip. Should have enough gate speed to race near the top of the stack.
2-Caviart Val (7/2)-Usually Merriman would be pedal down and look to get the point but not sure that's the best plan for this 4-year-old. Looks like a player and has a pilot who usually finds a way to be in striking range turning for the wire.
3-Victor Hick (9-1)-Loney trainee has beaten better than this at NFLD back in September. The driver change to Myers should help and is worth a swing at the morning line price.

My Ticket

Race 11) 1,3

Race 12) 4,6

Race 13) 3,6

Race 14) 1,2,3

Total Ticket Cost) $24 for $1.00

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