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Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis | Monday, December 6

by Al Cimaglia

December 6, 2021

Northfield Park has a 14-race program scheduled with the first post coming at 6:00 PM EST. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 begins in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

1-Dancin Doug (5-1)-This is a race devoid of form but in context Doug could be the best in here if ready for a big try. Came back with 2 dull efforts after being off about a month, and then took off a couple of weeks and requalified. Drops here and this is the level for success if brings a good try.
3-HP Patriote (12-1)-Ships in from the Meadows and should offer a big price. Has been an all or nothing type when racing here. Has 4 wins in 19 NFLD starts and has missed the board otherwise. Had a 153.4 mark on this oval in 2021.
4-Brother Dick (9/5)-Has been on Lasix for 8 starts without a win. Last picture was back on 9-2 but this HoP invader is still the morning line choice. That tells you something about this field but Merriman steers and that might be enough to get top honors in its NFLD debut.

Race 12

1-Jet J (7/2)-Paced the 2nd half in 58.1 to sweep by down the lane on a sloppy track at this class on 12-1. Has won 2 of 4 on an off-track and will need an alert start but will respect chances of an encore. This 4-year-old may have his way with younger foes.
3-Utica Kid (7/2)-Is often in the mix at the Pomp but this 3-year-old needs a good steer and that doesn't happen on a regular basis. Maybe Lake will work an efficient trip and be fastest down the lane.
7-Marcia (3-1)-Jones the Troyer barn after arriving from Hoosier and will make its NFLD debut. Appears to fit, this conditioner has won 7 of 15 starts the past 30 days and Wrenn should have in play.

Race 13

1-Pound Sign (7-1)-Went off at 6/5, bet down from a 6-1 morning line and burned a lot of cash in last. Caught a pocket trip and the pace collapsed but didn't have strong brush when using the passing lane. The price should be better, and this isn't a loaded field. If brings the same effort as 2 back it could be picture time.
2-Music Is Art (3-1)-Has been in too deep in the last 4 starts but now drops to a spot to shine. Should leave and could take charge and not look back.

Race 14

4-Sawyer's Desire (7/5)-Burke trainee takes a big drop after a start in DTN and will debut at NFLD. Should be a player but the price will be small and has only 2 wins in the last 25 starts. Has a 149.0 mark at HoP and has big gate speed to be put in play early.
5-Wagon Master (5-1)-Had been facing $25-$30K claimers out East and should relish the company. Merriman steers, has raced on 1/2-mile ovals and could offer a fair price. Off-track record is only 1-24 so keep in mind if the weather comes into play.

My Ticket

Race 11) 1,3,4

Race 12) 1,3,7

Race 13) 1,2

Race 14) 4,5

Total Ticket Cost) $36 for $1.00

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