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Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis | Tuesday, Dec. 28, 2021

by Al Cimagiia

December 28, 2021

 

Tonight, Northfield Park has 14 races set to roll and the $1.00 Late Pick 4 begins in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

2-Blue Spanx (5/2)-Raced well off a rough trip from the 2nd tier and finished the mile nicely. Kash should be able to provide a smoother trip and be in the hunt at the wire.
3-Pound Sign (3-1)-Came out of the same race as the one above and had to deal with post 8. Form has been good, has cashed checks versus tough company and it's best to respect chances for a picture.
6-Caviart Cooper (8-1)-Will look for a price banking on Davis Jr providing a sharp steer and being in striking range around the last turn. Has tactical speed and could be overlooked at the windows.

Race 12

2-Oneisalonelynumber (3-1)-It looks like the 2 program chalks are a cut above the rest of the field. This veteran has a post edge and can race near the top of the stack. Those factors could be the difference.
9-Vintage Grand (5/2)-Best to not overlook but this post draw makes things more difficult. Wrenn will need to work some magic because there isn't much gate speed inside. Has hit the board in 34 of 64 Nfld starts and has taken 14 pictures. It wouldn't be shock if this 7-year-old is in the hunt at the wire.

Race 13

4-Dancin Dragon (1/1)-Got on the engine and almost lasted at the level above this one in the 1st local start. Merriman will steer again and this will be the 2nd start in the Oliverio barn. Was off almost 3 weeks before the last race, and comes right back in sequence tonight. Should make the most of the class relief.

Race 14

3-A J Morelli (3-1)-Hasn't made a trip to the winner's circle since early October and now drops into a soft spot. Could blast out versus this kind to get on the engine and may not look back.
5-Caviart Val (3-1)-Here is another who finds a spot to shine. Beat this kind here for its last win on 11-15 and usually battles at the Meadows. Merriman could look to drop into the pocket behind the one above. Will use these 2 and look to beat the 9/5 program favorite #1.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

2,3,6/2,9/4/3,5
Total Bet=$12

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