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Al Cimaglia: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis | Friday, February 18, 2022

by Al Cimaglia

February 18, 2022


Cal Expo begins the weekend with a 9-race card. The poplar 0.20 Pick 4 starts in Race 6. The sequence has a $30,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6

4-Frewil Dakota Sven (10-1)-Hasn't been able to seal the deal versus this kind but can close in a hurry. Should offer a juicy price and has a shot to upset if Stewart can get into striking range by the top of the lane.
5-Dancin Lance (2-1)-Recent form has been sharp and got knocked out of last with an interference break. Could be in the hunt here with a decent steer.
7-Albergo Hanover (6-1)-Raced from the back in the 1st start off the bench and came the 2nd half in .55. Looking for even better in its 2nd start at CalX.
8-Its Pointless (5/2)-Consistent competitor at this class but was hurt by a rough trip in last. Kennedy can provide a sharp steer and thinking the price could be better than the morning line with this post draw.

Race 7

1-Bombay Hanover (5-1)-Camera shy 6-year-old could get sucked around behind #3 and make one move to sweep by down the lane. The price should be right to take a swing and drops to a better level for success.
6-Northrook Ron (2-1)-This is a soft spot for Ron, but he is trip dependent. Usually looks to come off cover so will need honest fractions. The pace could be lively, Lackey knows well and should be a small price.

Race 8

4-Outlanothnbutsmrt (5/2)-Rolled the 2nd half in .56 to beat this kind in last. Best to respect as there is no reason to think the same outcome isn't a possibility.
6-Starstruck Cowgirl (9/5)-Plano sticks and won't offer any value after just missing in last. The winner on 2-4 isn't in this field and it looks like this beaten chalk is a main player again.

Race 9

1-Heza Big Dealer (12-1)-Lackey drove in last and this was his choice over #7. Likes to race near the top of the stack and that plan can happen here. Will take a swing for a price and look for an efficient trip.
8-Giggle Monster (2-1)-This is a soft spot and is due for a smooth journey. Roland can be aggressive versus this crew.

0.20 Pick 4

Total Bet=$6.40

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