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Handicappers' GPS: Guide to Gulfstream | Saturday, March 5, 2022

by Jeremy Plonk

March 3, 2022

 

We dial in your daily guide to 1/ST BET and Xpressbet promotions, along with pertinent handicapping hints as you plan your attack. Saturday's 13-race Gulfstream Park card is co-host to the inaugural 1/ST Saturday in March, which also joins key stakes races at Santa Anita in featured pick five wagers.

Race 1 (12:10 PM ET) // allowance-optional claiming // 7 furlongs
Gulfstream early pick five begins.

Handicapping Hint: 12 entered, including several familiar foes that have repeatedly faced one another. The 1-2-3 finishers from Feb. 10 Race 8 re-match, a good opportunity for video study. You’re Killing Me looks for a repeat, claimed last out by the recently hot Mike Maker barn.

Race 2 (12:40 PM ET) // maiden special weight // 7 furlongs
$2500 Gulfstream early pick four hit-and-split begins.
Up to a $10 money-back special on win bets if they finish second or third.

Handicapping Hint: 15 entered, while only 3 in the main body of 12 runners has ever made a start. Utilize the free XBTV workout video library for more study. Rookies from Brown, Pletcher, Mott and McGaughey will be interesting to follow on the toteboard. Eyeball pre-race looks and paddock commentary as well.

Race 3 (1:10 PM ET) // G3 Canadian Turf // 1-1/16 miles (turf)
Free to play $5 million Pick 15 Sweepstakes begins.

Handicapping Hint: 7 entered, topped by likely heavy favorite Never Surprised, last seen second in the G1 Pegasus World Cup Turf. Unless French export Mouillage is the goods for Chad Brown in his first start since September, Never Surprised will be a single on many early pick four/pick five tickets.

Race 4 (1:40 PM ET) // maiden special weight // 7 furlongs

Handicapping Hint: 16 entered in the colts’ counterpart to Race 2. Half of the 12 in the main body of the field will be making career debuts. This race is loaded with regal pedigrees, big barns and potential. Utilize the free XBTV workout video database for more study. Eyeball pre-race looks and paddock commentary as well as the tote.

Race 5 (2:10 PM ET) // G3 The Very One Stakes // 1-3/8 miles (turf)
Up to a $10 money-back special on win bets if they finish second or third.

Handicapping Hint: 9 entered, featuring a 1-2 rematch from the Jan. 29 G3 La Prevoyante Stakes. Beautiful Lover and Sorrel were separated by only a head in that one over a furlong farther in distance. Fresh faces to the cast look to provide highly legitimate opposition.

Race 6 (2:40 PM ET) // G2 Davona Dale Stakes // 1 mile

Handicapping Hint: 7 entered in which 4 runners enter off of at least 2-race winning streaks. Girl With A Dream has the most recent of those scores and fastest in terms of speed figures, but it’s uncertain whom will go favored. Nearly all of these will be meeting for the first time.

Race 7 (3:10 PM ET) // Palm Beach Stakes // 1 mile (turf)
Coast to Coast all-turf stakes pick five begins; get up to a $10 free bet when you play this wager with 1/ST BET or Xpressbet

Handicapping Hint: 9 entered as Feb. 5 G3 Kitten’s Joy Stakes narrow runner-up Royal Spirit figures to be solidly favored with a rider change to Irad Ortiz Jr. for Todd Pletcher. He’ll be singled on a lot of Coast to Coast all-turf stakes pick five tickets. Beat him and the ticket payoff jumps.

Race 8 (3:40 PM ET)
Up to a $10 money-back special on win bets if they finish second or third.
Gulfstream Jackpot Rainbow 6 begins.

Handicapping Hint: 10 entered and all eyes will be on the return of Triple Crown winner Justify’s younger half-brother Stage Raider. XBTV’s free video workout library has 5 of his morning drills catalogued to view, important since he’s been away since last May. The big-name field includes last year’s Florida Derby runner-up Soup and Sandwich as well as ’21 Championship Meet steam sophomore Prevalence. Both name players are looking to bounce back off disappointing runs.

Race 9 (4:10 PM ET) // G3 Honey Fox Stakes // 1 mile (turf)
$4000 Gulfstream late pick five hit-and-split begins.
Part of the special Coast to Coast all-turf stakes pick five.

Handicapping Hint: 11 entered with a very interesting, and fast, early pace situation potentially to unfold. Spend some time watching race replays on these, including a quartet exiting the inaugural G3 Pegasus World Cup Filly & Mare Turf.

Race 10 (4:40 PM ET) // G2 Gulfstream Park Mile // 1 mile
$6000 Gulfstream late pick four hit-and-split begins.
Part of the special Coast to Coast all-dirt stakes pick five.

Handicapping Hint: 9 entered, featuring a 1-2 rematch of the G3 Fred W. Hooper, where Speaker’s Corner went wire to wire and turned away the rally of favorite Fearless. The early speed of fresh face Injunction and the come-backing Ny Traffic could change the pace dynamics.

Race 11 (5:10 PM ET) // G2 Mac Diarmida Stakes // 1-3/8 miles (turf)

Handicapping Hint: 11 entered, but only 2 trainers represent 8 of the contenders – Mike Maker (5) and Todd Pletcher (3). Pletcher’s front-running Abaan will benefit from the rail with the start close to the far turn. Maker’s Temple and Media Blitz were 2-3 trying to catch him to no avail last time at a furlong farther in distance. Abaan was 3-2 favorite in the McKnight and likely similar, if not shorter, here.

Race 12 (5:42 PM ET) // G2 Fountain of Youth Stakes // 1-1/16 miles
Up to a $10 money-back special on win bets if they finish second or third.
Part of the special Coast to Coast all-dirt stakes pick five.

Handicapping Hint: 12 entered, and with the announced scratch of original morning line favorite Mo Donegal, Galt is expected to join the field. Simplification is beautifully drawn after his troubled start, but solid-finishing, Holy Bull runner-up. A strong expected pace could favor Rattle N Roll late, making his 3-year-old debut. Emmanuel may go favored off his impressive wins vs. lesser. Several good options abound. Utilize the free XBTV workout video library for more study.

Race 13 (6:12 PM ET) // G3 Herecomesthebride Stakes // 1 mile (turf)
Part of the special Coast to Coast all-turf stakes pick five.

Handicapping Hint: 13 entered with on obvious favorite. Lia Marina and Opalina exit stakes wins at the meet, but 1/2-length and 3/4-length margins in those victories make this look competitive. This race anchors all the late-day Gulfstream multi-race wagers and appears wide open. If you can narrow the field and have a strong opinion, it’s the kind of race that could separate you from the betting pack in ticket construction.