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Al Cimaglia: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis | Friday, March 11, 2022

by Al Cimaglia

March 11, 2022


Cal Expo begins the weekend with a 10-race program. The betting feature is the 0.20 Pick 4 which starts in Race 7. The sequence has a $30,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 7

4-Frisky Pedro (2-1)-This Plano trainee doesn't make a habit of winning but has been cashing checks versus better. Drops to a more comfortable level and should be forwardly placed throughout.
7-Howtotrainurdragon (3-1)-Ten-year-old doesn't get onto the track that often anymore. But now drops to the level of its last win on 1-7. Not loving the short price but can compete for a picture if dialed on high.
9-Cowboys Dirtyboots (7/2)-Dropped to the basement and raced wide from the 7-hole to come a close 2nd. Ten-year-old bumps up a notch and won't be an odds-on choice this week. Paced the 2nd half in 57.2 and Svendsen should be rolling late again.

Race 8

5-Crackerjackoutlaw (7/2)-Comes out of a race where the field broke into 3 tiers and this gelding, and the one below were buried at the back. A return to the same effort as in the previous start, which was a win at this level, could end the same way.
7-Outlawnothnbutsmrt (8/5)-Team Goulet trainee has been in sharp form. This 4-year-old was 17 lengths back at the half and fell only 2 lengths short. The 56.2 back half is something to not overlook.

Race 9

5-Paddy Murphy (9/2)-Looking for some value and will toss the last 2 versus better. Draws well, won 3 back at this level and Kennedy can roll late off cover with an honest pace.
6-Dance Traveler (5/2)-Went the long way around and caught the field in the 1st start for the Plano barn. Returns at the same level and best to not overlook for another trip to the winner's circle.

Race 10

6-Lickcreek Speedway (8/5)-Winner of 3 straight has been doing it easily and should be another tiny price. Form has been so good it's difficult to shoot against, but this field could offer a stiffer challenge.
8-Summer Fantasy (3-1)-Defeated #6 back on 2-6 by getting the top and making every call a winning one. Plano should be looking to follow a similar plan here.

0.20 Pick 4

Total Bet=$4.80

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