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Al Cimaglia: Hawthorne Late Pick 4 Analysis | Saturday, March 12, 2022

by Al Cimaglia

March 12, 2022


Hawthorne Racecourse has an 8-race card set for this evening. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 5. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 5

3-Admit (8-1)-This mare has been in tall cotton the entire meet. Finally, lands in a realistic level for success and should be a solid price.
7-Rojo Caliente (7/2)-Team Leonard trainee makes its 3rd start at the Open level and has held her own. Actually, the last race was a strong try on a sloppy track and hadn't shown an affinity to wet surfaces (6-0-0-2). Comes right back and it's best to not overlook.

Race 6

3-Loulita (7/2)-This Searle trainee has been in dull form this year and tried a new plan last week of getting on the engine. That effort fell short but like the one below, should be a main player versus this kind.
8-Louzotic (3-1)-Was jammed up down the stretch in last but wasn't winning anyway. Looking for a more aggressive drive tonight and really has no excuse at this level.

Race 7

3-Martha Max (5/2)-Tepid morning line chalk takes a plunge and may have found a beatable field. This mare usually finds ways to lose and is only 1-28. But the Eaton barn has been doing well and will respect connections.
4-Bad Medicine (9/2)-Usually makes HoP its home and this is the 2nd start of the meet. Could be racing to get into shape for the opening of Hoosier and fits with this crew. Raced well last week on a sloppy track and went the back half in 57.2 in the 1st start since 11-6.

Race 8

3-Illustrate (6-1)-Received an efficient steer to win last week and is back in versus the same kind. Winner in 3 of 7 at Haw and Franco could work the same plan tonight.
4-Shooting Brooke (7-1)-One move type caught the right trip and beat this kind in last. There isn't a true standout in this field and the same could happen here. Looking for some value in this leg and will shoot against #9 the program chalk.
7-Dune Dame (5-1)-Hasn't done much during this meet but has a shot versus this field. Comes off a better effort and will look for Leonard to be in striking range coming into the lane.
8-Sweet Vivian (6-1)-Recent form has been dull but takes a good drop and should like this company. Gets a positive driver's change with Seekman taking a seat and could offer a nice price.

0.50 Pick 4

Total Bet=$16

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