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Al Cimaglia: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis | Sunday, March 20, 2022

by Al Cimaglia

March 20, 2022

Cal Expo wraps up the weekend with an 11-race card. The 0.20 Pick 4 starts in Race 8. The sequence has a $25,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 8

1-Casa Miasa (5/2)-Beat the $4k claimers the last time when drawing the rail and this is a similar bunch. Has one nice move when dialed on high and needs to be in striking range down the lane.
8-Brooklyn Wind Up (5-1)-Team Plano entry is on a heater winning its last 3 starts. Went the back half in 57.2 to beat 3 from this field on 3-11. The winning streak will end at some point but it's risky to leave out versus this crew.

Race 9

2-Hagginatthebeach (5/2)-Took a pocket ride all the way around and got up in time to beat this kind in last. Won't offer much value but could follow the same game plan again.
3-Wizzel Stix (3-1)-Needs a better trip than in last but did finish the mile nicely and will look for better here. Lackey knows this veteran mare and he could provide a sharp steer.
9-Steady Breeze (8/5)-Started inside but was parked before getting the lead after the opening turn. Burned money at 1/2 and will be a better price this time. Roland could leave, duck, and then roll by down the lane.

Race 10

2-Captain Terminator (5/2)-Bumps up after smoking the 2nd half in 55.4 to draw off by >3 lengths. Looks like a main threat and has beaten better than this last month.
3-Mibwest Kid (3-1)-Steps-up after winning for the 4th consecutive time and looks like another win is within reach with a fair trip.
5-Pancetta (4-1)-This 13-year-old beat much easier in last and it's best to not dismiss here. Winner of over $515,000 doesn't win very often these days but can stay good for another big try.

Race 11

5-Contemporay Legend (2-1)-Tried to wire better in last and that didn't work. Drops to a more comfortable spot and may look to race close to the top but not on the point. Kennedy sticks and may have found a beatable field.
7-Howtotrainurdragon (9/2)-Looking for a solid price and will hope Campbell can provide a decent steer. Lightly raced 10-year-old does have the speed to win and comes off a solid try.

0.20 Pick 4

Total Bet=$7.20

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