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Al Cimaglia: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis | Friday, March 25, 2022

by Al Cimaglia

March 25, 2022

 

Cal Expo starts the weekend with a 10-race card. The feature comes in Race 6, four-year-old fillies competing in California Sires Stakes action with a $20,000 purse. The headliner from a betting standpoint is the 0.20 Pick 4 which begins in Race 7. The sequence has a $30,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 7

4-Hay Hay Alright (5/2)-Made a big brush to get the point on the backside versus better, that move emptied the tank and then faded down the lane. It was still a good try and should enjoy the company tonight.
5-Mibwest Kid (2-1)-The winning streak ended in last and didn't look engaged until close to the wire. Meets an easier field and could bounce back to take another picture.
7-Rockinscience (4-1)-Steps-up after wiring the field in last. Got away with soft fractions on a windy night. Fits with this group if Plano can work a trip and should offer a solid price.

Race 8

2-Ima Tank (12-1)-Came off cover to win with a 27.3 final quarter and now steps-up. This will be a test, but the inside post draw could help. Likes to compete and has hit the board in 13 of 22 at CalX with 3 wins. Looks worthy of a swing at this price.
6-Albergo Hanover (8/5)-Comes off a 3rd place finish versus Open company in a 151.4 mile. Should be a main player but will offer a tiny price. This could be a drop and pop opportunity but can't completely trust.
7-California Rock (7/2)-Was in tall cotton versus Open company after coming off 2 wins and wasn't ready for the challenge. Drops to the level of a recent victory on 3-13 and best to respect. Should be rolling down the lane and quick fractions could help.

Race 9

1-Rosco P Coletrain (4-1)- Comes off an improved effort versus Cali Sires Stakes 3-year-olds and should fit with this bunch. Looking for the upswing to continue in the 2nd start on Lasix and Plano sticks.
2-Give Me This Dance (5/2)-This gal is a perfect 3-3 in its sophomore season and has finished off miles with quick last quarters. The Roland pupil has been an odds-on choice in all 3 starts and should offer a better price tonight.
6-Crackerjackoutlaw (2-1)-This 7-year-old still fits in this class and won its last with a 56.1 back half. Loses Roland who steers his own (2), but Kennedy can get the job done.

Race 10

1-Always Glad (7/2)-Was used a couple of times and fell short to cash a 2nd place check when dropped to this class last week. Has been in good from and best to not overlook.
2-Cenalta Sunrise (8/5)-One-move type has the speed to win but Kennedy needs to work a smooth trip. Fits well with this crew. The 0-9 record this year is cause for pause but is tough to leave off the ticket.

0.20 Pick 4

4,5,7/2,6,7/1,2,6/1,2
Total Bet=$10.80

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