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Al Cimaglia: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis | Friday, April 15, 2022

by Al Cimaglia

April 15, 2022

 

The feature at Cal Expo comes in Race 7, the California Sires Stakes Championship for 4-year-old fillies with a $50,000 purse. The popular 0.20 Pick 4 also rolls in Race 7. The sequence has a $30,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 7

4-Senga Nightmare (4/5)-Winner of 2 straight has won 5 of 9 this year and deserves to be the morning line chalk but isn't a lock. Warrants respect but at odds-on will look to others for more value.
5-May Day Maggie (9/2)-Hasn't been able to seal the deal and likes to race near the top of the stack. Could be overlooked at the windows and a pocket ride behind the chalk could be Roland's plan.
6-Tartan Patch (3-1)-Lost all chance at the start in last but was in the hunt in 7 of the past 8 races. Gets a good starting spot and the pace should be lively for Goulet to roll by down the lane.

Race 8

1-Villa For Rent (9/2)-Comes off a wasted start due to a a broken hopple. Needs an efficient trip and could get a ground saving journey and surprise at a solid price.
3-Terror Of The Nite (3-1)-This veteran wouldn't be denied in last and the question is will he stay good? My bet is to use off the best start of the meet.

Race 9

4-Giggle Monster (6-1)-Bumps up after a sharp win and fits well with this company. This looks like a nice spot for another trip to the winner's circle. Likes to race on the point and shouldn't have much trouble getting there.
7-Northbrook Ron (3-1)-Drops to the level of its last win on 2-25 and this is the 2nd start off the bench. Lackey should have Ron coming off cover looking to tackle #4 down the lane.

Race 10

6-A And C Artist (9/5)-The past 4 starts have been very good and the last try from the 7-hole was a game effort. Should be a main player in what looks like a 2-horse race.
9-Tink And Tiger (7/5)-This 14-year-old still enjoys winning and that was evident last week. Could win coming off cover or racing near the lead and can stay good for another picture.

0.20 Pick 4

4,5.6/1,3/4,7/6,9
Total Bet=$4.80

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