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Al Cimaglia: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis | Friday, April 29, 2022

by Al Cimaglia

April 29, 2022


Cal Expo has an 8-race card scheduled for tonight. The 0.20 Pick 4 starts in Race 5. The sequence has a $25,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below ae based on a fast track.

Race 5

4-Dancin Lance (5/2)-This Smith trainee has battled #5 all meet and has his share of pictures. It looks like these two are going to be dueling down the lane again.
5-A Major Omen (1/1)-Svendsen takes over for Roland tonight and this Longo entry has won 3 straight. This is the one to beat.

Race 6

2-Bobs Time (2-1)-Hasn't won since the end of January and likes to follow. Tough to leave out versus this crew but probably won't offer any value. Using, but looking to others at a better price.
5-Frisky Pedro (7/2)-Should be able to leave and get a good early seat. Plano could be aggressive as there isn't much gate speed in this field. Might be in line for a suck-around trip and then roll by down the lane.
6-Miki's Magic Ride (12-1)-Willing to take a swing on this price shot and hope the fractions are lively. If Grundy can stay within striking range, this 6-year-old might be rolling fastest of all down the lane.

Race 7

3-Helen's Girl (8/5)-Started well behind from the 8-hole in last and couldn't make up any ground. Did pace the back half in 56.4 and with an alert beginning it could be picture time.
5-Summer Fantasy (4-1)-This mare has the speed to win and should be a fair price. One move-type needs a good steer, and the short field won't hurt chances.

Race 8

1-Roaring Home (4-1)-Stewart steers for the 2nd straight time and will need to work an efficient trip. Should be competitive on the drop and drawing the rail could help.
3-Delightfully Wild (3-1)-This veteran hasn't been able to finish off miles but figures to be in the mix at this level. Plano's choice over the 1/2/6 may have found a beatable field and will play against the #4, the 8/5 program chalk.

0.20 Pick 4

Total Bet=$4.80

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