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Al Cimaglia: Woodbine Mohawk Park Late Pick 4 Analysis | Monday, May 9, 2022

by Al Cimaglia

May 9, 2022

Woodbine Mohawk Park starts the week with an 11-race card. The feature goes in Race 9, a Free for All Trot with a $45,500 purse. The 0.20 Late Pick 4 begins in Race 8, and the sequence will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 8

2-Wishyoudtellme (5-1)-Wired this kind back on 1-7 and there isn't much gate speed in this field. Young could leave, end up on the point or in the pocket and either could work for an upset.
4-Dancer Hall (5/2)-This 8-year-old is 0-7 in 2022 and takes a big drop trying to cash the top check. Draws well and JMac gets the assignment. That all should add up to a win but is only 2 for 23 dating back to last year.

Race 9

1-Oney Hall (6/5)-Hasn't struggled versus this group at all and is looking for the 6th straight picture. This is a newly formed class at Mohawk called a Free for All. Names shouldn't matter and the same result should happen unless this 6-year-old knocks himself out of contention.

Race 10

3-Royal Renegade (8-1)-Stayed inside last week and paced the back half in .56 to finish 3rd. Cullen could follow the same script and try to use one move to sweep by. Doesn't win often but this feels like a spot for the 2nd picture of the year.
4-Julerica (4-1)-Using off the Moreau claim and Filion will take the lines. This is a contentious affair but will respect connections and this trainer has done well with the 10-year-old in the past.
6-Air Strike (5-1)-Drew off by over 7 lengths in a powerful mile and now faces better. This will be a test but best to not overlook.
8-Hersthatmanagain (15-1)-Has hit the board in 8 of 11 at Wbsb and has been in the money in 8 of 14 in 2022 with 4 wins. JMac is in the bike, and he has done good work with this 5-year-old. The fractions could be lively, that helps, and the price should be right.

Race 11

1-Dontpockethedragon (9/2)-Was stuck with post 10 when dropped to this level in last. The slide has been a steep one from facing Preferred company in March and this field doesn't have a standout.
2-Pointomygranson (5/2)-Came off the bench with a sharp effort form the 9-hole at FlmD. This is a soft spot if dialed on high in the 2nd start since 2-3.
6-Bad Eye Bill (7/2)-Makes the 1st start for Auciello after being claimed in last. JMac stakes a seat, and he is posting 21% winners over the past 30 days. Has been working on the smaller oval at FlmD and is only 1 for 12 here. But it doesn't feel right to leave off the ticket versus this crew.
9-Rockin N Talkin (4-1)-Was off for about 6 weeks and came back to face better without any luck. Should be tighter here and like others, drops to a competitive level.

0.20 Late Pick 4

2,4/1/3,4,6,8/1,2,6,9
Total Bet=$6.40

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