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Al Cimaglia: Woodbine Mohawk Park Early Pick 4 Analysis | Monday, October 17, 2022

by Al Cimaglia

October 17, 2022

Woodbine Mohawk begins the week with a 12-race card. The feature goes in Race 9, a Preferred 2 Trot with a $34,000 purse. The 0.20 Early Pick 4 starts in Race 4, and the sequence will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 4

3-All Wrapped Up (4-1)-Didn't get the best of trips, searched for cover, and then had to go it on his own. Raced better than the line looked and finished gamely. Looking for more down the lane and should offer a fair price.
5-Truffle Too (5/2)-Takes a sizeable drop and JMac gets the assignment. Has cashed checks versus some tough foes and there is really no excuse for not taking a picture here. But hasn't won since 7-18 and won't single.

Race 5

2-Mayhem Like Me (4-1)-Broke and lost all chance on 10-8 and is only 3-33 at Mohawk. Looking for a better price than the morning line. Roy could sit inside, use one move down the lane and trip out for a win.
3-JM Jack of Hearts (3-1)-Takes a big drop to the basement and this is another who is out of excuses. Tough to leave off the ticket but wins about as often as the seasons change.
6-Real Willey (7/2)-Raced big coming off a 2-month hiatus and the 2 that finished ahead are not working tonight. Should be tighter and ready to pick up only the 2nd win of the year. (25-1-4-7)

Race 6

2-Toughsonofbeach (6-1)-Benefitted from lively fractions and a sharp steer by JMac to pop at big odds. Won't be 35-1 but should offer a square price and this race could set-up in a similar fashion.
5-Snap Test (7/2)-Here is another threat to roll by down the lane but needs a more alert start. Makes its debut for the Marfisi barn off a claim and Roy sticks. Has cashed 2nd place checks in the last 2 starts and may have a little extra this time to claim the top prize.

Race 7

3-Sis (3-1)-Gets class and post relief plus makes its 1st start for the Dean stable. Roy is still in the bike, and may have found a spot to break her maiden (8-0-1-1) at a short price.
4-Dewitt This Moment (5-1)-Basically went 1st over into a 28.1 third quarter and faded down the lane. Could be in the mix with the right trip. Cullen takes the lines, and my guess is the odds will be longer than 5-1.

0.20 Early Pick 4

3,5/2,3,6/2,5/3,4
Total Bet=$4.80

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