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Al Cimaglia: Breeders Crown Pick 5 Analysis | Friday, October 28, 2022

by Al Cimaglia

October 28, 2022

Woodbine Mohawk Park begins the weekend with Breeders Crown Finals for two-year-olds. The top freshman trotters and pacers will square off competing for a $600,000 purse, $810,000 CDN, in Races 6-9. The 0.20 Late Pick 5 starts in Race 6, and the sequence will be my focus.

Race 6

1-Gaines Hanover (7/2)-Hard to find a fault with this Moreau pupil and should offer a fair price in a tough race. My only concern is drawing the rail but has been too good to leave off the ticket and should be a main player with a clean trip.
4-Celebrity Bambino (9/2)-Winner of 2 straight comes off a sharp score from the 9-hole last week. How good is this Burke trainee? My take is really good, and could gain some respect tonight. Has won 3 of 5 since returning from a sick scratch and could keep rolling.
9-Oh Well (3-1)-Wasn't super impressive last week but did what was needed to get ready for the Final and was off almost a month between starts. Melander should have this fine colt tuned up nicely and the post helps the price but may not hurt his chances.

Race 7

1-Charleston (5/2)-This Pelling freshman lost to #5 by less than a length in the Great Lady on 9-24 and might be peaking right now. Showed some guts to edge out #2 at the wire last week. This versatile filly likes Wbsb (3-2-1) and Dunn should provide a smooth trip.
2-Strong Poison (5-1)-Always B Miki filly raced big in the 1st start north of the border. Got on the engine from the 8-hole and lost by a neck to #1 last week. That was an impressive effort and in the last 8 starts has been now worse than 2nd with 4 pictures.
5-Slyvia Hanover (8/5)-The race should go through this gal and has only one blemish so far going 7 for 8 this year. Strutted her stuff with a strong brush down the lane after being used once to get the lead. Draws well, is looking for its 7th straight and it should be noted, was off almost a month before the last victory.

Race 8

4-Special Way (2-1)-This Svanstedt filly has banked over $401k in 2022 and we may not have seen her best yet. Not so sure she can win without being on top turning for the wire and there is a lot of gate speed in this field. But may not give up the lead if she gets the top.
7-Righteous Resolve (5/2)-This Ontario bred Bax trainee earned the right to take a buy last week and did just that. Sometimes the added rest is beneficial and other times not. This filly has won 8 of 9 and last started on 10-15, so should come into this race ready. Has a perfect 8 for 8 record at Wbsb and best to respect her hometown record will stay spotless.

Race 9

3-Confederate (7/5)-Needed a single and this wasn't a difficult choice. That said, 2-Handlelikeaporsche and 7-Stockade Seelster are not slouches but this filly was off almost a month, was 1st time Lasix and still toyed with the field. This race could easily go in sub 150 and Tetrick won't hold back as the Brown pupil has that type of speed beyond the clay at the Red Mile.

Race 10

1-Heavens Showgirl A (9/2)-McClure takes over for Roy and this gal comes off a sharp score with a 54.2 back-half and a 26.2 last quarter. Faces tougher foes and it will be a test. But starting from the rail shouldn't hurt, there aren't any monsters to deal with and the price should be right to take a swing.
2-Voelz Delight (5/2)-On paper the race should go through this mare, and the one below but both seem vulnerable. This Tourigny trainee is the classier of the two and can win racing on the point or coming off a helmet.
3-Dabarndawgswatchin (3-1)-This is the other dropper who faced-off in a BC Elim last week. Roy sticks and this mare is probably more trip dependent but has the speed to top this bunch.
5-Shes Got It All (10-1)-Here's a price shot to add some juice to the Pick 4 payout and Zeron taking the lines could make a considerable difference. Likes to stay inside and then rally down the lane in a hurry. This pilot knows how to master that trip.

0.20 Late Pick 5

1,4,9/1,2,5/4,7/3/1,2,3,5
Total Bet=$14.40

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