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Al Cimaglia: Northfiield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis | Sunday, November 6, 2022

by Al Cimaglia

November 6, 2022

Tonight, Northfield Park has a 13-race program with the feature coming in Race 11, an Open Handicap Pace with an $18,000 purse. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 begins in Race 10. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 10

1-Rollin In New York (4-1)-This Kreiser trainee is in sharp form and has big gate speed. Should be on the engine or in the pocket and is a player. Using and fading Merriman on the tepid program chalk (5).
4-Rockn Motion (7/2)-Got the pocket behind a 150 winner but was cutting his own mile for a long way and that trip didn't work well. Should race near the top of the stack but this time things should set-up differently.

Race 11

4-One Last Laugh (6-1)-Willing to look past the last 2 starts coming from post 8 and 7. Beat Open Hcp company here on 10-17 from this post. Needs the right trip but can top this crew. This veteran knows how to win taking 12 pictures in 38 starts this year.
7-Sawyer's Desire (6-1)-Winner of 2 straight steps-up and at the morning line price offers some value. Could drop in just in front of or in the pocket behind #8 and then take a swing down the lane.
8-Backstreet Shadow (2-1)-Drew off by 5 lengths on 10-31 versus this kind at the Meadows on a sloppy track. Has big speed and can leave fast as well but makes his Nfld debut tonight and the price will be small.

Race 12

1-Mississippidragon (1/1)-Went off at 56-1 last week and rolled the back half in 57.1 to finish 2nd. Draws the rail, Wrenn takes the lines and now is the even money morning line chalk. It is a suspect group so shouldn't be dismissed. But this is a 3-year-old who hasn't won anything facing older in her 2nd start, using but there likely won't be any value.
4-Ms Hillfiger (7-1)-This 3-year-old is 0-10 but shows some speed, makes the 1st start for the Roegner barn and gets a positive driver change in Kurt Sugg. Was off 22 days before the last start, did show improved speed and could be a solid price.

Race 13

2-Closing Statement (6-1)-Should get a good early seat and Merriman can work a trip to be in striking range at the top of the stretch. This is the 4th start off the bench and returns to Nfld for the 1st time since 7-24. Could be sitting on a big try at a nice price.
4-Risenshine Seaside (2-1)-Burke 3-year-old has had a nice year versus state breds and deserves respect. Wrenn should be leaving to land on the point and will be facing older. Looks like a short price and needs a sharp steer.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

1,4/4,7,8/1,4/2,4
Total Bet=$24

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