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Al Cimaglia: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis | Sunday, December 11, 2022

by Al Cimaglia

December 11, 2022

Cal Expo has a 10-race card ready to go and there will be a Pick 5 carryover of $13,803.13. The 0.20 Pick 4 starts in Race 7. The sequence has a $20,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus. On Friday night the Pick 4 had a hefty $37,695 in the pool.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 7

4-Instant Wynn (8-1)-Paced the back half in 57.3 in a needed start to finish 2nd. Now Plano takes the lines and that shouldn't hurt chances. This 3-year-old filly is worth a swing and should offer a solid price.
5-Hang Ten Tuck (8-1)-Makes the 2nd start on Lasix after pacing the 2nd half in 56.2. Also, had the fastest last quarter in this field (.28). Now tries Lasix for the 2nd time and is another price shot that could take a picture.
7-SB Prince Archie (2-1)-This 3-year-old is 0-15 lifetime but has hit the board 8 times. The 2-1 morning line is tough to swallow but did face better in last. Willing to use at a short price with long shots playable in later legs but isn't a cinch.

Race 8

2-Prom Queen (3-1)-The Schneider/Mullet combo has been connecting to start the meet and this mare has won 2 in a row. This gal has hit the board in 18 of 33 starts and has taken 8 pictures in 2022. Best to respect chances of a 3-Peat, has done well at Hoosier (44-12-7-3).
3-Nebble Hanover (9/5)-Has been an odds-on winner in the last couple to start the meet and has looked the part. Similar to the one above, likes to win. Has captured 8 of 32 this year and will be another small price in what looks to be a 2-horse race.

Race 9

2-Salary (4-1)-Won the 1st start in town easily, then bumped up, didn't get a great trip and that took its toll. Moves inside from post 8 and that could be the winning difference.
3-Brooklyn Moonshine (9/2)-Dropped to this level last week and Plano tried a different tactic. Left from the rail and tried to make every call a winning one but wilted down the lane. Will look for a different plan tonight and could make amends.
5-Delightfully Wild (9/5)-This should be a meaningful drop from the FM Open class and was cashing 3rd place checks versus that kind. This veteran should be a main player at a tiny price.

Race 10

3-Winds Of Winter (10-1)-Made a needed start versus better last week and should relish the company. This will be the 2nd time for Lasix and can offer a solid price.
7-Mr Vlos (3-1)-Comes off a decent try in the 1st start of the meet and now Sobey takes the lines, and he has been doing well. Came the back half in .57 and could be better after a race over the track.
8-JP Jetty (1-1)-Got up in time in an impressive 1st career start. Starting outside will make it more difficult but looks like the one to beat despite this post draw.

0.20 Pick 4

4,5,7/2,3/2,3,5/3,7,8
Total Bet=$10.80

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