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Al Cimaglia: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis | Friday, January 6, 2023

by Al Cimaglia

January 6, 2023

Cal Expo has a 12-race program scheduled and it looks like the weather will finally cooperate, at least for tonight. The 0.20 Pick 4 starts in Race 7. The sequence has a $25,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 7

1-Major Winker (5-1)-Makes the 3rd local start after traveling inside versus better. Drops to a more comfortable level and should get an efficient trip.
3-Marced Magic (5-1)-This veteran from the Schneider barn has cashed many checks at CalX (58-13-8-8) and should be in the hunt tonight. James Kennedy takes the lines, that's a positive driver change and could make a difference.
6-Chasing Bismarck (12-1)-Steps-up after putting in a good try on a sloppy track to finish a close 2nd. This is another who should benefit in a change in pilots with Svendsen taking a seat. Has finished 2nd in the last 2, both on an off-track and is only 1-20 on a wet surface.

Race 8

3-Quarantini (3-1)-Just missed by a half-length in making it 3 straight. Fits well again and likes to win capturing 5 of 18 starts. Should be a bigger threat on a fast track. Lackey may get on the engine and not look back.
7-Worthy Opponent (6-1)-The Schneider barn changes to another veteran teamster in John Macdonald who should have this 5-year-old racing near the top of the stack. Faded in last but should get a smooth trip and likes CalX winning 13 of 25 races.
8-Unfiltered (6/5)-This 5-year-old has only made 31 lifetime starts and has won 16 times with 12 victories coming in 2022. He is a perfect 4 for 4 at CalX, was bet down to 1/5 on 12-16 and will probably be an odds-on choice again. Will respect chances but hasn't drawn outside here and will hope for either of the 2 above to find a way to take top honors.

Race 9

2-Heads Up Boys (6-1)-This mare raced big from post 10 to finish a close 3rd at this class. That last effort was the 1st race here on a fast track, Svendsen sticks and will look for a top performance.
5-Brooklyn Moonshine (8/5)-Dropped to this class in last and faded down the lane to come a disappointing 4th after going off at 9/5. Will use despite the dull finish as the track favored closers in that race.

Race 10

1-Go Away N Play (3-1)- Elson Miller steers, trains and owns this 7-year-old mare. This is a suspect group, the entire field had 6 wins total in 2022 and this gal took 3 pictures. Shows the ability to pass foes down the lane and that might be enough to take a picture here.
3-Always Glad (5/2)-This will be the 3rd race at CalX this season and 3rd start since 4-22. Took the long way around in last and Lackey should work a better trip this time. Could be tight enough to show better speed and a fast track wouldn't hurt chances.

0.20 Pick 4

1,3,6/3,7,8/2,5/1,3
Total Bet=$7.20

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