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Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Late Pick 4 Analysis | Saturday, February 4, 2023

by Al Cimaglia

February 4, 2023

The Meadowlands has 14 races scheduled and hopefully the weather will cooperate. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 10. The sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 10

5-Belmont Royale N (3-1)-Came the 2nd half in 54.2 but couldn't catch the leader. Drops and was off 2 weeks before the last race. Looks like the one to beat.
7-Burnham Boy N (4-1)-Takes on much better after pacing the 2nd half in .53 with a 25.2 last quarter. That was the 1st start on Lasix and his M1 debut. Willing to take a swing the performance wasn't a fluke and the Ryder barn is posting 25% winner in the last 30 days.

Race 11

1-Mister Spot A (5-1)-Bumps up after a big try from post 10 to dead-heat for the win. Does well racing near the top of the stack and with this post draw Gingras shouldn't have an issue working that trip.
3-Baileys Rock N (3-1)-Gets a positive driver change in Dunn and drops to a more comfortable level. Should be right there at the wire but might be over bet. Big M record is nothing to write home about, has posted only 2 wins in 33 starts.
4-Rockin The Aces (5-1)-Raced from the back at this class last week and zipped home with a 25.4 last quarter to finish a distant 4th. This veteran knows how to win, should be very competitive versus this kind and will look for an aggressive steer in the 3rd start for the Saunders barn.

Race 12

3-Andres Hanover (5-1)-This is the 2nd start in sequence and drops to a level which should yield a good result. This is only the tenth race since 2022 so there have been issues for this 5-year-old. But could be sitting on a big try and lands in a good spot for an overdue win.
5-Literl Lad Hanover (6-1)-Has had trouble putting 2 strong races together and not sure what happened last week. If the pattern holds this should be a better effort. Could surprise if Joe B provides a sharp steer.
10-Bet On Blake (10-1)-Looking for a long shot and Mark MacDonald gets the drive for the Burke barn. Has been racing better and this is the 4th start off the bench. Has the gate speed to get a decent seat, and could pop at a price if the upswing continues in a race without a standout.

Race 13

1-Duddie's Lor (5-1)-This veteran grinded it out and closed nicely last time. Finally gets a better draw after starting from posts 8-9-7-9. Getting the rail should help, won on 12-17 on the engine at M1. Dave Miller should work an efficient trip and could offer a square price.
4-Paternity Suit A (8-1)-Here is another who has been stuck outside in recent starts (8-8-8). This 10-year-old fits well and McCarthy could work a suck-around trip. This looks like the best chance so far this year to snag an overdue win.
6-Dealer's Table (3-1)-Recent form has been dull and keeps dropping looking for a spark. May have found a field to beat and this will be 1st time Dunn is steering. Having that pilot probably hurts the price but maybe he can wake up this 7-year-old.

0.50 Late Pick 4

5,7/1,3,4/3,5,10/1,4,6
Total Bet=$27

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