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Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis | Sunday, February 19, 2023

by Al Cimaglia

February 19, 2023

Northfield Park has a solid 15-race card scheduled. The co-features go in Race 3 and Race 12, an Open Handicap Trot and Open Handicap Pace both with an $18,500 purse. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

4-Cool Man Dude (6/5)-Drops to a soft spot and Davis Jr grabs the lines. Should be on the point off the gate and if dialed on high, has a big chance to make every call a winning one at a tiny price.
6-Closing Statement (7-1)-This Bendis pupil tries hard and has the gate speed to land near the chalk. The driver change to Myers should help and could surprise at a solid price if the one above falters.

Race 12

5-Bettor Than Spring (5/2)-This Kreiser 8-year-old likes to takes pictures, fits well with this group and could be bet down. Should be racing near the top of the stack, or could wire this crew. Davis Jr can work a smooth trip but probably doesn't offer any value.
8-Bronx Seelster (7/2)-This Burke trainee is looking for its 3rd straight and has been an odds on choice in 2 of the last 3. Using and hoping the post helps the price because the gate speed is there is be put in play early on.

Race 13

1-Speedy Dominic A (9/5)-Dominic likes to burn money, and he should be bet hard again in the 1st start for Rhoades. This is a soft spot and with this post draw he should have his way on the point. Not loving the short price but tough to ignore at this class and Merriman may have the key for success.
5-Record Machine (5/2) -Slow starts sometimes hurt this veteran and that was the case in last. Got stuck behind a horse with no "go" right after the opening turn and the trip didn't get much better afterwards. Closed willingly and will look for better with a new set of hands in Davis Jr.
7-Just Toyin With Ya (15-1)-Didn't get the smoothest journey last time and Lems, who is the regular pilot is back at the controls. Has enough gate speed to land in a decent seat and if the pace is hot chances go up. Using at this price and could surprise with the right trip.

Race 14

4-Not Today (9/2)-This the 3rd start since a sick scratch on 12-26 and appears to be back in solid race shape. Won 11 of 45 starts in 2022, will look for an aggressive steer and a big try tonight.
5-Tick's A Yankin (5/2)-Broke last in a short field in the same race as the one above and never had a chance against a well meant winner. Drops to a level of recent success and will look for better.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

4,6/5,8/1,5,7/4,5
Total Bet=$24

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