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Al Cimaglia: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis | Friday, February 24, 2023

by Al Cimaglia

February 24, 2023

The feature at Cal Expo goes in Race 6 when 2-year-old colts and geldings compete for a $20,000 purse in California Sires Stakes action. The 0.20 Pick 4 begins in Race 7. The sequence has a $25,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 7

1-Delightfully Wild (8-1)-This veteran mare drops in search of its 1st win of the year (0-5) but has won 19% of CalX starts (19-99). Gets the services of James Kennedy who picked over the 2/7. This is a soft spot and comes right back in 5 days, so best to respect at a square price.
5-Uniquerock (5-1)-Another who drops to the lowest level this meet but loses Svendsen to the Plested entry #4. Can pass foes down the lane and this race could set up for a closer. There is some gate speed inside, the fractions should be lively and that could help this 5-year-old.
6-Prom Queen (5/2)-Similar profile to the one above excepts wins more often, (8-35) in 2022 and has posted 12 wins in 51 CalX starts. This is another who will benefit from a quick pace and hopefully won't be over bet.

Race 8

6-Swan Country (5/2)--There isn't much form to be found in this leg. This Trembly pupil has a good pilot in Thayer and has been cashing checks versus Open company, but is 0-7 at CalX.
7-Adagio De La Tour (7/2)-This 13-year-old makes his 5th start since November and this time comes back within a week. Was facing Open company without any success but maybe now the kinks have been worked out . Posted a 153.1 mark at Lexington in 2022, and had 7 wins in 34 starts. Banked over $50k last season and might have met a beatable field.

Race 9

4-Heads Up Boys (8-1)-Faces easier here, gets a new set of hands in Plano and drops to the level of its last win on 1-22. Needs a trip but should be in striking range turning for the wire versus this bunch.
6-Capitol Hill (10-1)-Price shot hasn't taken a picture in 5 tries this year but also faces somewhat easier. Svendsen could have this veteran racing close to the leaders and be in the hunt at the wire.

Race 10

3-Outlawnothnbutsmrt (12-1)-Dropped to this level in last, raced better and can improve again with a good trip. This post draw should help Goulet work a more efficient trip.
5-Bombay Hanover (2-1)-This mare has been facing better but is camera shy and some might fade. Slow starts can be an issue but Plano comes back, and at this level he should provide a more aggressive steer. Using and won't offer any value but versus this kind is difficult to leave off the ticket.
6-West Coach Beast (9/2)-Should be in the mix and would expect Thayer to be on the point or in the pocket around the 1st turn. This 10-time winner in 2022 hit the board in 3 of 6 at CalX and has posted 1 win. This is another drop and pop candidate.

0.20 Pick 4

1,5,6/6,7/4,6/3,5,6
Total Bet=$7.20

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