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Al Cimaglia: Northield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis | Sunday, March 12, 2023

by Al Cimaglia

March 12, 2023

 

Northfield Park has a 14-race card to begin the week. The co-features roll in Race 6 and Race 11, an Open Handicap Trot plus an Open Handicap Pace both with a $19,000 purse. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a low 14% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

4-Speedy Dominic A (9/2)-Steps up but gets needed post relief. Should be racing on the point or with the leaders throughout.
7-Odds On Osiris (2-1)-Comes off a sharp win versus this kind from the same post and Wrenn is at the controls again. Has won 6 of 8 at Nfld and the race should go through this Burke trainee.

Race 12

2-Kneedeep N Custard (3-1)-Drops to a competitive level and draws well. Myers will probably land on the engine and may make every call a winning one.
3-Captianofrocknroll (5-1)-Stayed inside versus better and closed to cash a 3rd place check. Has the speed to win at a square price as long as Ebersole gets in striking range at the 3/4 pole.

Race 13

1-Pound For Pound (5/2)-Makes the 2nd start off a sick scratch, Merriman returns and draws the rail. Should be racing near the top of the stack and is a main player if 100%.
3-Not Today (3-1)-Drops to a soft spot, Lems will be in the bike, and he knows well. This was an 11-time winner in 2022 and might be overlooked at the windows. Does have 11 wins in 47 Nfld starts and could add to that total tonight with a good trip.

Race 14

6-Seal Sniper (25-1)-Drops to a better level for success and could pop at a big price if Myers provides a sharp steer. Can leave, race near the leaders and take advantage of an efficient trip.
7-Northern Rocks (5-1)-Not feeling the rail horse at 4-1 or Merriman on #2 at 9/5 in the morning line. This 5-year-old is as good or better but has to stay flat. Willing to take a swing for a square price. Davis Jr. steered in last and put in a flat line at the class just above. Risky but can offer some value if not over bet.
9-Dontyousayit (12-1)-Check-getter doesn't like to win, took only 1 picture in 2022 while hitting the board in 16 of 32
(32-1-9-6). Looking for some luck so Sugg can land in a decent early seat. This isn't a group of all-stars, the 6-year-old could trip out and score at a price.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

4,7/2,3/1,3/6,7,9
Total Bet=$24

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