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Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis | Sunday, March 26, 2023

by Al Cimaglia

March 26, 2023

Northfield Park has a 15-race card with the features rolling in Race 5 and Race 6, an Open Handicap Trot and Open Handicap Pace both with a $19,000 purse. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a low 14% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

2-Kneedeep N Custard (5/2)-Comes out of the same race as the one below and was hung the mile but this time starts inside. Grinded on the outside until the 3/4 pole and then gave up the ghost. Gets Myers back and that could be a difference maker. The last time he steered (3-12) it led to a picture versus this kind.
6-Almanac (9/2)-Worked hard to get the lead from a 4/5 shot who came out of the pocket to win. Davis Jr may work a less taxing trip this time and should be on the point or behind the one above. The price could be right, did set some quick fractions in last finishing a close 3rd and was off 3 weeks between starts.

Race 12

2-Keystone Catalyst (12-1)-Has won at this level on 1-17 and should have enough gate speed to get a good early seat. With a sharp steer from Myers and some lively fractions the 5-year-old can roll by down the lane at a price.
5-Somebeach Baron (8/5)-This will be a single on many tickets and could be an odds on choice. Will respect connections and this is a soft spot but will still use two in this leg.

Race 13

3-Freedom Warrior (2-1)-Went off at 5-1 and was driven like he was the best and it was true. Got the point right after the 1/4 pole, was pressured, set hot fractions and sealed the deal nicely in 151.4. Could stay good for a repeat and has won 4 of 12 at Nfld.
4-Quality Closer (4-1)-This veteran was a 9-time winner in 2022 and has enough gate speed to land in the pocket behind the one above. Can compete with this kind and might trip out.

Race 14

1-Perlucky (5/2)-Hasn't raced since 3-12, takes a significant drop-in class and fits better here. Should be on the point after the wings fold if dialed on high and may not look back.
6-Mac Deeno (10-1)-Landed 4th on the rail off the gate after leaving from post 8 last week. Got hemmed in on the rail and with a better trip it may have been picture time. Looking for the price shot to be in striking range at the top of the lane.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

2,6/2,5/3,4/1,6
Total Bet=$16

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